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·5 min read·BestFolio Research Team

TAA Scoreboard October 2026: Model Portfolios and 111 Strategies, Month to 1-Year

The monthly scoreboard for October 2026, generated straight from the strategy catalog. Start with the model portfolios, the diversified blends most people should actually hold, then work down to the full board of 111 strategies. Every table carries the month, the year to date and the trailing 1-year return, because the long view is the one that decides whether a strategy is worth holding.

Model portfolios: the blends that matter most

These are the ready-to-clone model portfolios we track, from the most defensive to the most aggressive. Each is a blended, multi-strategy allocation from the portfolio library, not a single strategy, so this is the honest read on how a diversified BestFolio investor actually did, over the month, the year, and since inception.

Model portfolioRiskMonthYTD1YCAGR since inception
Simple Defensive CoreModerate+1.3%+1.5%+3.3%7.8%
All Weather Tactical BlendModerate+0.7%+7.5%+8.4%11.3%
BestFolio House MomentumAggressive-0.5%+9.7%+11.1%14.0%

How to read October 2026

Breadth check. Of the 92 strategies on the unlevered board, 58 beat the US market (-0.7%) in October 2026, and 18 are ahead of it year to date. The month itself ran from +13.9% (Inflation Compass) down to -10.1% (Century Momentum), a spread of 24.0% in a single month.

The strategy that led October 2026, Inflation Compass, is also in the year-to-date top five, which is the rarer case. More often the month's winner and the year's winner are different strategies, which is exactly why the YTD and 1-year columns matter more than any single month.

Benchmarks for context: 100% US Stock Market -0.7% for the month (+11.8% YTD, +12.0% 1Y), Classic 60/40 +0.3% for the month (+6.8% YTD, +7.1% 1Y).

Year-to-date leaders

The strategies compounding best so far this year, one row per strategy, each shown with its best variant this year. This is the table that matters more than the month.

StrategyVariantMonthYTD1Y
Inflation CompassInflation Compass Steady (80-day)+13.9%+44.2%+38.1%
Growth-Inflation Sector TimingGrowth-Inflation Concentrated+13.9%+42.5%+47.2%
Sector Rotation (Faber QTAA-Sectors)Top-3 No Filter+5.1%+27.1%+21.6%
HAA (Hybrid Asset Allocation)HAA SmartStack (Gold+MF)+0.4%+23.4%+26.7%
Momentum-Correlation TripletTriplet Plus-0.7%+20.9%+22.4%
Mama Bear PortfolioMama Bear Standard+0.4%+19.8%+22.2%
SPY Band Timer + Out-of-Market (Sadek)Out-of-Market Rotation only-0.6%+18.7%+24.3%
PAA (Protective Asset Allocation)PAA High Protection+2.1%+18.1%+20.2%
Carlson's Adaptive 60/40Adaptive 60/40 Standard+0.9%+17.8%+21.6%
Five-Asset Momentum RotationFive-Asset Momentum Rotation Standard+2.7%+16.6%+20.0%

Top 10 unlevered strategies in October 2026

The month's leaders, for the record. Read them next to the YTD and 1-year columns before reading too much into a single month.

StrategyVariantMonthYTD1Y
Inflation CompassInflation Compass Standard+13.9%+35.2%+29.5%
Growth-Inflation Sector TimingGrowth-Inflation Concentrated+13.9%+42.5%+47.2%
Holy Grail Dual MomentumHoly Grail, Toma Hentea's Original (TLT)+5.6%-7.1%-6.1%
RP Gold+SCV (Schwoerer)RP Gold+SCV (VBR variant)+5.4%+6.2%+7.5%
Cockroach PortfolioCockroach (5x20%)+5.3%+6.6%+9.8%
Sector Rotation (Faber QTAA-Sectors)Top-3 No Filter+5.1%+27.1%+21.6%
Stoken's ACA - Daily [Dynamic Bond]ACA REIT Sleeve (VNQ/IEF)+4.8%+9.2%+9.3%
Verdad CountercyclicalVerdad Countercyclical Standard+2.7%+1.3%+4.7%
Five-Asset Momentum RotationFive-Asset Momentum Rotation Standard+2.7%+16.6%+20.0%
CoffeehouseCoffeehouse (7 Funds)+2.4%+7.8%+9.3%

Leveraged corner

Leveraged variants, ranked separately because raw monthly moves at 2x or 3x are not comparable to the unlevered list. The 1-year column is where their real risk and reward shows up.

StrategyVariantMonthYTD1Y
Chimeric Asset AllocationChimeric Asset Allocation Standard+2.9%+20.0%+20.3%
EAA (Elastic Asset Allocation)EAA Golden Offensive - SmartLeverage 1.5x+1.8%+14.5%+22.2%
BAA (Bold Asset Allocation)BAA-G4 - SmartLeverage 1.5x+1.6%+12.5%+7.8%
Mama Bear PortfolioMama Bear - SmartLeverage 1.5x+0.9%+23.8%+26.3%
VAA (Vigilant Asset Allocation)VAA-G4 - SmartLeverage 1.5x+0.9%+3.1%+3.0%

Weakest 5 of the month

StrategyVariantMonthYTD1Y
Century MomentumStandard-10.1%-4.1%-5.8%
200-Day SMA TrendQQQ 200-Day Trend-6.7%-2.6%-4.7%
Risk Parity Momentum (Schwoerer)RP+Momentum (QQQ/GLD/TLT)-6.7%-7.0%-7.4%
ADM (Accelerating Dual Momentum)ADM SmartStack (Gold+MF)-3.9%+1.3%+4.0%
Composite MomentumComposite Momentum Aggressive-3.7%+4.5%+5.8%

Methodology: strategy returns come from each strategy's published NAV series, the same out-of-sample track records shown on the leaderboard. Model portfolio returns use the same blended NAV shown on each portfolio's library page, measured through the last trading day of the month. One month is one data point; the strategy and portfolio pages show full multi-decade histories, drawdowns, and walk-forward results. This post is generated automatically from the database on the first of each month.

Educational information only, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Backtested results are hypothetical and do not represent actual trading.

Written with the help of AI tools and reviewed before publication.

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Data and method

Study dates and assumptions are documented in the article and its revisions. Our current methodology explains the platform's data sources, proxy histories, trade timing and inflation treatment.

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