PAA (Protective Asset Allocation) Tactical Asset Allocation Strategy

Breadth-based crash protection across 12 risky assets. The fraction with positive SMA momentum determines the bond buffer -- more negative assets means more IEF protection. Remaining capital goes to top momentum picks. Monthly rebalancing.

Backtest Performance (1997-04-30 to 2026-04-07)

MetricPAA (Protective Asset Allocation)
Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR)9.3%
Maximum Drawdown-22.1%
Sharpe Ratio0.99
Sortino Ratio1.32
Annualized Volatility9.3%
Calmar Ratio0.42
Total Return1193.7%
Backtest Period28.9 years

Strategy Details

Type
Tactical (TAA)
Rebalancing
monthly
Risk Level
moderate
Variants
1
Author
Wouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning

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