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Strategies/EAA (Elastic Asset Allocation)

EAA (Elastic Asset Allocation)

TacticalPromoderate

Based on research by Keller & Butler · Keller, W.J. & Butler, A. (2014). Elastic Asset Allocation (EAA)

This is BestFolio's independent implementation. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the original author.

Launched Dec 30, 2014
momentummulti asset

About this Strategy

Multi-factor scoring combining return, low correlation, and low volatility. Cash fraction scales elastically with the number of assets showing negative momentum.

The complete strategy logic, asset universe, and rebalancing rules are available to Pro subscribers. This includes the full methodology description, author notes, and implementation details.

Pro subscribers also get access to current signals, full backtest history, and the ability to blend this strategy into custom portfolios.

Strategy Rules

Pro subscribers only

  1. 1Calculate 12-month return, correlation to equal-weight portfolio, and volatility for all 10 assets
  2. 2Filter to assets with positive 12-month return (n eligible out of N=10)
  3. 3Cash fraction = 1 - n/N (allocated to BIL)
  4. 4Score eligible assets: ri^1.0 * (1-ci)^1.0 / vi^0.0 (default: return × diversification)
  5. 5Select top 3 by score; weight proportionally within the risky allocation (1 - cash fraction)
  6. 6Universe: SPY, EFA, EEM, VNQ, DBC, GLD, TLT, IEF, LQD, HYG; safety = BIL

Asset Universe

Pro subscribers only

10 instruments this strategy can hold

SPY
S&P 500
EFA
MSCI EAFE
EEM
iShares Emerging Markets
VNQ
US REITs
DBC
Commodities
GLD
Gold
TLT
20+ Year Treasuries
IEF
7-10Y Treasuries
LQD
Investment Grade Corporate
HYG
High Yield Corporate

Key Differentiators

Monthly rebalancingTactical rotationModerate riskMomentum-based2 variants

Research Source

K&

Based on research by Keller & Butler

Keller, W.J. & Butler, A. (2014). Elastic Asset Allocation (EAA)

Strategy Info

Type
Tactical (TAA)
Frequency
monthly
Next Rebalance
Jun 109:30 ET (10d)
Variants
2
Risk Category
moderate
Tags
momentum, multi asset
Type
Tactical Asset Allocation (TAA)
Trading Frequency
Monthly (last trading day)
Rebalancing
Full portfolio rebalance each month
Universe Size
10 risky assets + BIL (safety)
Momentum Lookback
12 months
Selection
Top 3 by generalized score
Scoring Formula
ri^wR * (1-ci)^wC / vi^wV (default wR=1, wC=1, wV=0)
Cash Mechanism
Elastic: cash fraction = 1 - (n positive assets / N total assets)
Weighting
Score-proportional among selected assets
Leverage Options
1x (standard)
Data Source
Institutional-grade market data (13 months minimum history)

Asset Classes

US EquityInternational EquityEmerging MarketsREITsCommoditiesGoldBondsCorporate BondsHigh Yield BondsT-Bills

EAA (Elastic Asset Allocation) at a glance

EAA (Elastic Asset Allocation) is a tactical asset allocation (TAA) strategy by Keller & Butler across US Equity, International Equity, Emerging Markets, REITs, rebalanced monthly. Backtested 1982-03-31 to 2026-05-20 (44.1 years): 10.1% CAGR, 1.11 Sharpe, -16.1% max drawdown, 8.9% volatility.

Type
Tactical (TAA)
Author
Keller & Butler
Rebalancing
Monthly
Risk
Moderate
Period
1982-03-31 to 2026-05-20
CAGR
10.1%
Sharpe
1.11
Max Drawdown
-16.1%
Volatility
8.9%

EAA (Elastic Asset Allocation) Tactical Asset Allocation Strategy

Elastic Asset Allocation (EAA) was published by Wouter Keller and Adam Butler in 2014. It is a momentum strategy with an innovative 'elastic' cash mechanism that dynamically adjusts the portfolio's cash allocation based on how many assets in the universe have positive momentum.

The cash fraction is calculated as cf = 1 - n/N, where n is the number of assets with positive 12-month returns and N is the total universe size. When all 10 assets have positive momentum, cash is 0%; when only half do, cash is 50%; when none do, the portfolio is 100% in cash (BIL).

Backtest Performance (1982-03-31 to 2026-05-20)

MetricEAA (Elastic Asset Allocation)
Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR)10.1%
Maximum Drawdown-16.1%
Sharpe Ratio1.11
Sortino Ratio1.29
Annualized Volatility8.9%
Calmar Ratio0.63
Total Return6795.6%
Backtest Period44.1 years

Strategy Details

Type
Tactical (TAA)
Rebalancing
monthly
Risk Level
moderate
Variants
2
Author
Keller & Butler
Source
Keller, W.J. & Butler, A. (2014). Elastic Asset Allocation (EAA)

Asset Classes

  • US Equity
  • International Equity
  • Emerging Markets
  • REITs
  • Commodities
  • Gold
  • Bonds
  • Corporate Bonds
  • High Yield Bonds
  • T-Bills

Track EAA (Elastic Asset Allocation) in Your Portfolio

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Disclaimer: BestFolio is an informational tool only and does not provide investment advice, recommendations, or solicitations to buy or sell securities. All strategy signals, backtests, and performance metrics are provided for educational and research purposes. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your own investment decisions. BestFolio is not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial planner. Always consult a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.

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