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HAA (Hybrid Asset Allocation) at a glance

HAA (Hybrid Asset Allocation) is a tactical asset allocation (TAA) strategy by Wouter Keller across US Equity, International Equity, Emerging Markets, REITs, rebalanced monthly. Backtested 1974-02-28 to 2026-07-03 (52.3 years): 16.2% CAGR, 1.49 Sharpe, -19.7% max drawdown, 10.0% volatility.

Type
Tactical (TAA)
Author
Wouter Keller
Rebalancing
Monthly
Risk
Moderate
Period
1974-02-28 to 2026-07-03
CAGR
16.2%
Sharpe
1.49
Max Drawdown
-19.7%
Volatility
10.0%

HAA (Hybrid Asset Allocation) Tactical Asset Allocation Strategy

Hybrid Asset Allocation (HAA) is a momentum-based tactical strategy developed by Wouter Keller, published in 2022. It uses a 'canary' universe of protective assets (TIP, BIL, IEF) to gauge market risk. When the canary trigger (TIP) shows negative momentum, the portfolio shifts to defensive bonds. Otherwise, the top 4 assets from a 9-asset offensive universe are selected based on 13612 equal-weighted momentum scoring.

Note: HAA differs from VAA/DAA/BAA by using equal-weighted 13612 (1m + 3m + 6m + 12m returns, all equal weights), NOT the weighted 13612W (which uses weights 12,4,2,1) those strategies use. This gives more equal influence to longer-horizon momentum signals.

HAA (Hybrid Asset Allocation): frequently asked questions

What is Hybrid Asset Allocation?
Hybrid Asset Allocation (HAA) is Wouter Keller's tactical strategy: a single TIP canary gates risk-on or risk-off, and when risk-on it holds the top 4 assets by 13612 momentum (the 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns, equally weighted) from a broad multi-asset universe, rotating to the best of bonds or cash when the canary turns negative. Monthly rebalancing.
Who created the HAA (Hybrid Asset Allocation) strategy?
HAA (Hybrid Asset Allocation) was developed by Wouter Keller. It is based on Keller, W.J. (2022). Hybrid Asset Allocation (HAA).
What is the historical return and maximum drawdown of HAA (Hybrid Asset Allocation)?
Backtested from 1974-02-28 to 2026-07-03, HAA (Hybrid Asset Allocation) returned 16.2% CAGR with a -19.7% maximum drawdown and a Sharpe ratio of 1.49. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
How often is HAA (Hybrid Asset Allocation) rebalanced?
HAA (Hybrid Asset Allocation) is rebalanced monthly. BestFolio publishes the updated allocation signal each period.
Is HAA (Hybrid Asset Allocation) a tactical asset allocation strategy?
Yes. HAA (Hybrid Asset Allocation) is a tactical asset allocation (TAA) strategy: it adjusts its holdings based on market signals each period rather than holding a fixed allocation.

Backtest Performance (1974-02-28 to 2026-07-03)

MetricHAA (Hybrid Asset Allocation)
Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR)16.2%
Maximum Drawdown-19.7%
Sharpe Ratio1.49
Sortino Ratio2.46
Annualized Volatility10.0%
Calmar Ratio0.82
Total Return259125.4%
Backtest Period52.3 years

Strategy Details

Type
Tactical (TAA)
Rebalancing
monthly
Risk Level
moderate
Variants
14
Author
Wouter Keller
Source
Keller, W.J. (2022). Hybrid Asset Allocation (HAA)

Asset Classes

  • US Equity
  • International Equity
  • Emerging Markets
  • REITs
  • Commodities
  • Bonds

Further reading

New to this approach? Read what tactical asset allocation is and how it works.

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