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Triad (DMS)

Triad (DMS) is a tactical asset allocation strategy reviewed on a monthly cadence. Its hypothetical backtest runs through 2026-07-23. BestFolio supplies the public rule or approach and backtest context; current signals, allocations, and paid interactive data remain restricted to Pro access. The recorded 2021 publication or construction boundary separates pre-publication simulation from later market observations under fixed rules; all returns remain hypothetical. Users review each scheduled signal and place any resulting trades in their own brokerage. BestFolio does not execute trades or provide personalized investment advice.

Cadence
Monthly
Backtest data through
2026-07-23
History boundary
The recorded 2021 publication or construction boundary separates pre-publication simulation from later market observations under fixed rules; all returns remain hypothetical.
Rule / approach
1. Compute 7-month SMA distance for all assets 2. S1 (1/3): IWB if distance >= 0, else best bond 3. S2 (1/3): best of IWS/VXUS if distance >= 0, else best bond 4. S3 (1/6): best of SGOL/DBC if distance >= 0, else best bond 5. S4 (1/6)…
BestFolio supplies
the public rule or approach and backtest context; current signals, allocations, and paid interactive data remain restricted to Pro access
Customer action
Review each scheduled signal and place any required trades in your own brokerage; BestFolio does not execute orders.
Costs and exclusions
net of a modeled one-way transaction cost (10 bps, scaled up to 3x under stress); taxes, fund-expense drift, or market impact are not modeled
Freshness
The latest available backtest ends 2026-07-23. A run timestamp is not exposed here, so no stronger freshness claim is made.
Next expected action
First trading day of August; scheduled 2026-08-03 at 09:30 ET. Review the published signal before placing any trade.

Triad (DMS) at a glance

Triad (DMS) is a tactical asset allocation (TAA) strategy by Randy Harris across US Equity, US Midcap Value, International Equity, Gold, rebalanced monthly. Backtested 1985-08-30 to 2026-07-23 (40.8 years): 10.4% CAGR, 1.26 Sharpe, -15.0% max drawdown, 9.2% volatility.

Type
Tactical (TAA)
Author
Randy Harris
Rebalancing
Monthly
Risk
Moderate
Period
1985-08-30 to 2026-07-23
CAGR
10.4%
Sharpe
1.26
Max Drawdown
-15.0%
Volatility
9.2%

Triad (DMS) Tactical Asset Allocation Strategy

The Triad is a 4-sleeve tactical strategy from Randy Harris's DMS that uses a 7-month SMA distance metric for each sleeve independently. Sleeve 1 (1/3): US large cap (IWB). Sleeve 2 (1/3): best of mid-cap or international. Sleeve 3 (1/6): best of gold or commodities. Sleeve 4 (1/6): always bonds. Smart Leverage available on Sleeve 1.

Triad (DMS): frequently asked questions

What is Triad (DMS)?
Four-sleeve TAA using 7-month SMA distance metric across US large cap, mid/international, commodities, and bonds. Smart Leverage variants substitute 2x/3x on the equity sleeve after 15% drawdowns. Monthly rebalancing.
Who created the Triad (DMS) strategy?
Triad (DMS) was developed by Randy Harris.
What is the historical return and maximum drawdown of Triad (DMS)?
Backtested from 1985-08-30 to 2026-07-23, Triad (DMS) returned 10.4% CAGR with a -15.0% maximum drawdown and a Sharpe ratio of 1.26. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
How often is Triad (DMS) rebalanced?
Triad (DMS) is rebalanced monthly. BestFolio publishes the updated allocation signal each period.
Is Triad (DMS) a tactical asset allocation strategy?
Yes. Triad (DMS) is a tactical asset allocation (TAA) strategy: it adjusts its holdings based on market signals each period rather than holding a fixed allocation.

Backtest Performance (1985-08-30 to 2026-07-23)

MetricTriad (DMS)
CAGR10.4%
Max Drawdown-15.0%
Sharpe1.26
Sortino1.83
Volatility9.2%
Calmar0.69
Total Return5604.6%
Backtest Period40.8 years

Strategy Details

Type
Tactical (TAA)
Rebalancing
monthly
Risk Level
moderate
Variants
3
Author
Randy Harris

Asset Classes

  • US Equity
  • US Midcap Value
  • International Equity
  • Gold
  • Commodities
  • Short-Term Bonds
  • Intermediate Treasuries

Further reading

New to this approach? Read what tactical asset allocation is and how it works.

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