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Golden Ratio Dual Gate (SPY + TIP) at a glance

Golden Ratio Dual Gate (SPY + TIP) is a tactical asset allocation (TAA) strategy by u/confettofetti (r/LETFs), rebalanced daily.

Type
Tactical (TAA)
Author
u/confettofetti (r/LETFs)
Rebalancing
Daily
Risk
Aggressive

Golden Ratio Dual Gate (SPY + TIP) Tactical Asset Allocation Strategy

Two-state daily tactical allocation on a Golden-Ratio-style risk-parity sleeve (SPMO momentum, VBR small value, DBMF managed futures, GLD gold, TLT long treasuries). When BOTH SPY and the TIP canary (VIPSX) are firmly above their 200-day SMA, it holds 50% UPRO on top of the sleeve at half weight; otherwise it drops UPRO and holds the sleeve at full weight. Risk-On and Risk-Off share the same sleeve, so only UPRO is added or removed, which keeps whipsaw turnover low. The strategy is never in cash, so a false de-lever signal costs only the leverage, not a flat return. The TIP canary steps the strategy out of leverage in inflation/rates regimes the SPY 200-SMA alone misses. BestFolio uses VIPSX as the TIP signal series for longer clean history, and its honest history is bounded near 2007 by the managed-futures proxy.

Golden Ratio Dual Gate (SPY + TIP): frequently asked questions

What is Golden Ratio Dual Gate (SPY + TIP)?
Two-state daily tactical allocation on a Golden-Ratio-style risk-parity sleeve (SPMO momentum, VBR small value, DBMF managed futures, GLD gold, TLT long treasuries). When BOTH SPY and the TIP canary (VIPSX) are firmly above their 200-day SMA, it holds 50% UPRO on top of the sleeve at half weight; otherwise it drops UPRO and holds the sleeve at full weight. Risk-On and Risk-Off share the same sleeve, so only UPRO is added or removed, which keeps whipsaw turnover low. The strategy is never in cash, so a false de-lever signal costs only the leverage, not a flat return. The TIP canary steps the strategy out of leverage in inflation/rates regimes the SPY 200-SMA alone misses. BestFolio uses VIPSX as the TIP signal series for longer clean history, and its honest history is bounded near 2007 by the managed-futures proxy.
Who created the Golden Ratio Dual Gate (SPY + TIP) strategy?
Golden Ratio Dual Gate (SPY + TIP) was developed by u/confettofetti (r/LETFs).
How often is Golden Ratio Dual Gate (SPY + TIP) rebalanced?
Golden Ratio Dual Gate (SPY + TIP) is rebalanced daily. BestFolio publishes the updated allocation signal each period.
Is Golden Ratio Dual Gate (SPY + TIP) a tactical asset allocation strategy?
Yes. Golden Ratio Dual Gate (SPY + TIP) is a tactical asset allocation (TAA) strategy: it adjusts its holdings based on market signals each period rather than holding a fixed allocation.

Strategy Details

Type
Tactical (TAA)
Rebalancing
daily
Risk Level
aggressive
Variants
1
Author
u/confettofetti (r/LETFs)

Further reading

New to this approach? Read what tactical asset allocation is and how it works.

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