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Strategies/VIX Shield

VIX Shield

TacticalProaggressive

Based on research by BestFolio · BestFolio original strategy (2024)

This is BestFolio's independent implementation. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the original author.

Launched 2025
momentumleveraged

About this Strategy

⚠️ THE LEVERAGED VARIANT IS FOR EDUCATIONAL/COMPARISON PURPOSES ONLY — we strongly advise against running it with real money. Daily VIX regime allocator.

The complete strategy logic, asset universe, and rebalancing rules are available to Pro subscribers. This includes the full methodology description, author notes, and implementation details.

Pro subscribers also get access to current signals, full backtest history, and the ability to blend this strategy into custom portfolios.

Strategy Rules

Pro subscribers only

  1. 1Compute 10-day SMA of VIX
  2. 2Panic Reversal: spot VIX > 35 AND spot VIX < VIX SMA → 70% SPY, 15% DBMF, 15% GLD
  3. 3Crisis: VIX SMA >= 30 → 20% SPY, 40% DBMF, 40% GLD
  4. 4Elevated: VIX SMA >= 20 → 50% SPY, 25% DBMF, 25% GLD
  5. 5Calm (fallback): VIX SMA < 20 → 80% QQQ, 10% DBMF, 10% GLD

Key Differentiators

Daily signalsTactical rotationAggressive riskLeveragedMomentum-based3 variants

Research Source

B

Based on research by BestFolio

BestFolio original strategy (2024)

Strategy Info

Type
Tactical (TAA)
Frequency
daily
Next Rebalance
May 2209:30 ET (today)
Variants
3
Risk Category
aggressive
Tags
momentum, leveraged
Type
Tactical Asset Allocation (TAA)
Trading Frequency
Daily
Signal Indicator
VIX 10-day SMA (spot VIX for panic detection)
Regimes
4 (Panic Reversal / Crisis / Elevated / Calm)
Panic Threshold
Spot VIX > 35 AND falling below 10-day SMA
Crisis Threshold
VIX 10-day SMA >= 30
Elevated Threshold
VIX 10-day SMA >= 20
Data Source
Institutional-grade market data (^VIX + SPY for date alignment)

Asset Classes

US EquityManaged FuturesGold

VIX Shield at a glance

VIX Shield is a tactical asset allocation (TAA) strategy by BestFolio across US Equity, Managed Futures, Gold, rebalanced daily. Backtested 1990-01-16 to 2026-05-21 (36.3 years): 13.1% CAGR, 0.79 Sharpe, -51.1% max drawdown, 17.2% volatility.

Type
Tactical (TAA)
Author
BestFolio
Rebalancing
Daily
Risk
Aggressive
Period
1990-01-16 to 2026-05-21
CAGR
13.1%
Sharpe
0.79
Max Drawdown
-51.1%
Volatility
17.2%

VIX Shield Tactical Asset Allocation Strategy

VIX Shield is a BestFolio original daily strategy that uses VIX levels to dynamically allocate between equities, managed futures, and gold. It uses the 10-day SMA of VIX for regime thresholds.

Four regimes (priority order): 1. Panic Reversal: Spot VIX > 35 AND falling → 70% SPY, 15% DBMF, 15% GLD 2. Crisis: VIX SMA >= 30 → 20% SPY, 40% DBMF, 40% GLD 3. Elevated: VIX SMA >= 20 → 50% SPY, 25% DBMF, 25% GLD 4. Calm: VIX SMA < 20 → 80% QQQ, 10% DBMF, 10% GLD

Backtest Performance (1990-01-16 to 2026-05-21)

MetricVIX Shield
Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR)13.1%
Maximum Drawdown-51.1%
Sharpe Ratio0.79
Sortino Ratio1.00
Annualized Volatility17.2%
Calmar Ratio0.26
Total Return8653.7%
Backtest Period36.3 years

Strategy Details

Type
Tactical (TAA)
Rebalancing
daily
Risk Level
aggressive
Variants
3
Author
BestFolio
Source
BestFolio original strategy (2024)

Asset Classes

  • US Equity
  • Managed Futures
  • Gold

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Disclaimer: BestFolio is an informational tool only and does not provide investment advice, recommendations, or solicitations to buy or sell securities. All strategy signals, backtests, and performance metrics are provided for educational and research purposes. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your own investment decisions. BestFolio is not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial planner. Always consult a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.

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