A-RVol Shifter at a glance

A-RVol Shifter is a tactical asset allocation (TAA) strategy by u/Wongkok (Reddit) across US Equity (3x Leveraged), US Equity (2x Leveraged), Long Treasuries, Gold, rebalanced daily. Backtested 2003-01-02 to 2026-04-24 (23.2 years): -1.6% CAGR, -0.02 Sharpe, -64.5% max drawdown, 16.3% volatility.

Type
Tactical (TAA)
Author
u/Wongkok (Reddit)
Rebalancing
Daily
Risk
Aggressive
Period
2003-01-02 to 2026-04-24
CAGR
-1.6%
Sharpe
-0.02
Max Drawdown
-64.5%
Volatility
16.3%

A-RVol Shifter Tactical Asset Allocation Strategy

A-RVol Shifter V3 is an adaptive volatility-based leveraged Nasdaq strategy. It uses multiple signals (QQQ realized vol, vol ratio, SPY 200-SMA with asymmetric buffers, credit spread stress, Donchian channel) to shift between TQQQ (3x), QLD (2x), and a defensive rotation (best of TLT/GLD/XLU/XLE by momentum, or BIL).

Backtest Performance (2003-01-02 to 2026-04-24)

MetricA-RVol Shifter
Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR)-1.6%
Maximum Drawdown-64.5%
Sharpe Ratio-0.02
Sortino Ratio-0.01
Annualized Volatility16.3%
Calmar Ratio-0.02
Total Return-30.8%
Backtest Period23.2 years

Strategy Details

Type
Tactical (TAA)
Rebalancing
daily
Risk Level
aggressive
Variants
3
Author
u/Wongkok (Reddit)

Asset Classes

  • US Equity (3x Leveraged)
  • US Equity (2x Leveraged)
  • Long Treasuries
  • Gold
  • Utilities
  • Energy
  • Cash

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