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A-RVol Shifter at a glance

A-RVol Shifter is a tactical asset allocation (TAA) strategy by u/Wongkok (Reddit) across US Equity (3x Leveraged), US Equity (2x Leveraged), Long Treasuries, Gold, rebalanced daily. Backtested 2003-01-02 to 2026-06-08 (23.4 years): 24.1% CAGR, 0.81 Sharpe, -62.2% max drawdown, 37.3% volatility.

Type
Tactical (TAA)
Author
u/Wongkok (Reddit)
Rebalancing
Daily
Risk
Aggressive
Period
2003-01-02 to 2026-06-08
CAGR
24.1%
Sharpe
0.81
Max Drawdown
-62.2%
Volatility
37.3%

A-RVol Shifter Tactical Asset Allocation Strategy

A-RVol Shifter V3 is an adaptive volatility-based leveraged Nasdaq strategy. It uses multiple signals (QQQ realized vol, vol ratio, SPY 200-SMA with asymmetric buffers, credit spread stress, Donchian channel) to shift between TQQQ (3x), QLD (2x), and a defensive rotation (best of TLT/GLD/XLU/XLE by momentum, or BIL).

Backtest Performance (2003-01-02 to 2026-06-08)

MetricA-RVol Shifter
Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR)24.1%
Maximum Drawdown-62.2%
Sharpe Ratio0.81
Sortino Ratio1.30
Annualized Volatility37.3%
Calmar Ratio0.39
Total Return15558.9%
Backtest Period23.4 years

Strategy Details

Type
Tactical (TAA)
Rebalancing
daily
Risk Level
aggressive
Variants
4
Author
u/Wongkok (Reddit)

Asset Classes

  • US Equity (3x Leveraged)
  • US Equity (2x Leveraged)
  • Long Treasuries
  • Gold
  • Utilities
  • Energy
  • Cash

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