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A-RVol Shifter

A-RVol Shifter is a tactical asset allocation strategy reviewed on a daily cadence. Its hypothetical backtest runs through 2026-07-23. BestFolio supplies the public rule or approach and backtest context; current signals, allocations, and paid interactive data remain restricted to Pro access. The recorded 2024 publication or construction boundary separates pre-publication simulation from later market observations under fixed rules; all returns remain hypothetical. Users review each scheduled signal and place any resulting trades in their own brokerage. BestFolio does not execute trades or provide personalized investment advice.

Cadence
Daily
Backtest data through
2026-07-23
History boundary
The recorded 2024 publication or construction boundary separates pre-publication simulation from later market observations under fixed rules; all returns remain hypothetical.
Rule / approach
1. 3-state mode: TQQQ → QLD if RVol > 18% or VR > 1.25 or SPY < SMA-3% 2. QLD → Defensive if RVol > 36% or VR > 1.40 or credit < -4% 3. Defensive → QLD if RVol < 25% and VR < 1.10 and SPY > SMA-1.5% 4. Defensive rotation: best of…
BestFolio supplies
the public rule or approach and backtest context; current signals, allocations, and paid interactive data remain restricted to Pro access
Customer action
Review each scheduled signal and place any required trades in your own brokerage; BestFolio does not execute orders.
Costs and exclusions
net of a modeled one-way transaction cost (10 bps, scaled up to 3x under stress); taxes, fund-expense drift, or market impact are not modeled
Freshness
The latest available backtest ends 2026-07-23. A run timestamp is not exposed here, so no stronger freshness claim is made.
Next expected action
Today (market open); scheduled 2026-07-24 at 09:30 ET. Review the published signal before placing any trade.

A-RVol Shifter at a glance

A-RVol Shifter is a tactical asset allocation (TAA) strategy by u/Wongkok (Reddit) across US Equity (3x Leveraged), US Equity (2x Leveraged), Long Treasuries, Gold, rebalanced daily. Backtested 2003-01-02 to 2026-07-23 (23.5 years): 24.4% CAGR, 0.84 Sharpe, -38.4% max drawdown, 33.7% volatility.

Type
Tactical (TAA)
Author
u/Wongkok (Reddit)
Rebalancing
Daily
Risk
Aggressive
Period
2003-01-02 to 2026-07-23
CAGR
24.4%
Sharpe
0.84
Max Drawdown
-38.4%
Volatility
33.7%

A-RVol Shifter Tactical Asset Allocation Strategy

A-RVol Shifter V3 is an adaptive volatility-based leveraged Nasdaq strategy. It uses multiple signals (QQQ realized vol, vol ratio, SPY 200-SMA with asymmetric buffers, credit spread stress, Donchian channel) to shift between TQQQ (3x), QLD (2x), and a defensive rotation (best of TLT/GLD/XLU/XLE by momentum, or BIL).

A-RVol Shifter: frequently asked questions

What is A-RVol Shifter?
Adaptive volatility-based leveraged Nasdaq strategy (V3) by u/Wongkok. Uses QQQ realized volatility, volatility ratio, SPY 200-day SMA, credit spreads (HYG/LQD), and Donchian channel exits to shift between TQQQ (3x), QLD (2x), and defensive rotation (TLT/GLD/XLU/XLE). Credit to u/Wongkok and u/XXXMrHOLLYWOOD.
Who created the A-RVol Shifter strategy?
A-RVol Shifter was developed by u/Wongkok (Reddit).
What is the historical return and maximum drawdown of A-RVol Shifter?
Backtested from 2003-01-02 to 2026-07-23, A-RVol Shifter returned 24.4% CAGR with a -38.4% maximum drawdown and a Sharpe ratio of 0.84. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
How often is A-RVol Shifter rebalanced?
A-RVol Shifter is rebalanced daily. BestFolio publishes the updated allocation signal each period.
Is A-RVol Shifter a tactical asset allocation strategy?
Yes. A-RVol Shifter is a tactical asset allocation (TAA) strategy: it adjusts its holdings based on market signals each period rather than holding a fixed allocation.

Backtest Performance (2003-01-02 to 2026-07-23)

MetricA-RVol Shifter
CAGR24.4%
Max Drawdown-38.4%
Sharpe0.84
Sortino1.28
Volatility33.7%
Calmar0.64
Total Return16901.0%
Backtest Period23.5 years

Strategy Details

Type
Tactical (TAA)
Rebalancing
daily
Risk Level
aggressive
Variants
4
Author
u/Wongkok (Reddit)

Asset Classes

  • US Equity (3x Leveraged)
  • US Equity (2x Leveraged)
  • Long Treasuries
  • Gold
  • Utilities
  • Energy
  • Cash

Further reading

New to this approach? Read what tactical asset allocation is and how it works.

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