A-RVol Shifter
A-RVol Shifter is a tactical asset allocation strategy reviewed on a daily cadence. Its hypothetical backtest runs through 2026-07-23. BestFolio supplies the public rule or approach and backtest context; current signals, allocations, and paid interactive data remain restricted to Pro access. The recorded 2024 publication or construction boundary separates pre-publication simulation from later market observations under fixed rules; all returns remain hypothetical. Users review each scheduled signal and place any resulting trades in their own brokerage. BestFolio does not execute trades or provide personalized investment advice.
- Cadence
- Daily
- Backtest data through
- 2026-07-23
- History boundary
- The recorded 2024 publication or construction boundary separates pre-publication simulation from later market observations under fixed rules; all returns remain hypothetical.
- Rule / approach
- 1. 3-state mode: TQQQ → QLD if RVol > 18% or VR > 1.25 or SPY < SMA-3% 2. QLD → Defensive if RVol > 36% or VR > 1.40 or credit < -4% 3. Defensive → QLD if RVol < 25% and VR < 1.10 and SPY > SMA-1.5% 4. Defensive rotation: best of…
- BestFolio supplies
- the public rule or approach and backtest context; current signals, allocations, and paid interactive data remain restricted to Pro access
- Customer action
- Review each scheduled signal and place any required trades in your own brokerage; BestFolio does not execute orders.
- Costs and exclusions
- net of a modeled one-way transaction cost (10 bps, scaled up to 3x under stress); taxes, fund-expense drift, or market impact are not modeled
- Freshness
- The latest available backtest ends 2026-07-23. A run timestamp is not exposed here, so no stronger freshness claim is made.
- Next expected action
- Today (market open); scheduled 2026-07-24 at 09:30 ET. Review the published signal before placing any trade.
A-RVol Shifter at a glance
A-RVol Shifter is a tactical asset allocation (TAA) strategy by u/Wongkok (Reddit) across US Equity (3x Leveraged), US Equity (2x Leveraged), Long Treasuries, Gold, rebalanced daily. Backtested 2003-01-02 to 2026-07-23 (23.5 years): 24.4% CAGR, 0.84 Sharpe, -38.4% max drawdown, 33.7% volatility.
- Type
- Tactical (TAA)
- Author
- u/Wongkok (Reddit)
- Rebalancing
- Daily
- Risk
- Aggressive
- Period
- 2003-01-02 to 2026-07-23
- CAGR
- 24.4%
- Sharpe
- 0.84
- Max Drawdown
- -38.4%
- Volatility
- 33.7%
A-RVol Shifter — Tactical Asset Allocation Strategy
A-RVol Shifter V3 is an adaptive volatility-based leveraged Nasdaq strategy. It uses multiple signals (QQQ realized vol, vol ratio, SPY 200-SMA with asymmetric buffers, credit spread stress, Donchian channel) to shift between TQQQ (3x), QLD (2x), and a defensive rotation (best of TLT/GLD/XLU/XLE by momentum, or BIL).
A-RVol Shifter: frequently asked questions
- What is A-RVol Shifter?
- Adaptive volatility-based leveraged Nasdaq strategy (V3) by u/Wongkok. Uses QQQ realized volatility, volatility ratio, SPY 200-day SMA, credit spreads (HYG/LQD), and Donchian channel exits to shift between TQQQ (3x), QLD (2x), and defensive rotation (TLT/GLD/XLU/XLE). Credit to u/Wongkok and u/XXXMrHOLLYWOOD.
- Who created the A-RVol Shifter strategy?
- A-RVol Shifter was developed by u/Wongkok (Reddit).
- What is the historical return and maximum drawdown of A-RVol Shifter?
- Backtested from 2003-01-02 to 2026-07-23, A-RVol Shifter returned 24.4% CAGR with a -38.4% maximum drawdown and a Sharpe ratio of 0.84. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
- How often is A-RVol Shifter rebalanced?
- A-RVol Shifter is rebalanced daily. BestFolio publishes the updated allocation signal each period.
- Is A-RVol Shifter a tactical asset allocation strategy?
- Yes. A-RVol Shifter is a tactical asset allocation (TAA) strategy: it adjusts its holdings based on market signals each period rather than holding a fixed allocation.
Backtest Performance (2003-01-02 to 2026-07-23)
| Metric | A-RVol Shifter |
|---|---|
| CAGR | 24.4% |
| Max Drawdown | -38.4% |
| Sharpe | 0.84 |
| Sortino | 1.28 |
| Volatility | 33.7% |
| Calmar | 0.64 |
| Total Return | 16901.0% |
| Backtest Period | 23.5 years |
Strategy Details
- Type
- Tactical (TAA)
- Rebalancing
- daily
- Risk Level
- aggressive
- Variants
- 4
- Author
- u/Wongkok (Reddit)
Asset Classes
- US Equity (3x Leveraged)
- US Equity (2x Leveraged)
- Long Treasuries
- Gold
- Utilities
- Energy
- Cash
Categories
Further reading
New to this approach? Read what tactical asset allocation is and how it works.
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