Permanent Portfolio (Gave)
Permanent Portfolio (Gave) is a tactical asset allocation strategy reviewed on a monthly cadence. Its hypothetical backtest runs through 2026-09-04. BestFolio supplies the public rule or approach and backtest context; current signals, allocations, and paid interactive data remain restricted to Pro access. The recorded 2024-10-22 publication or construction boundary separates pre-publication simulation from later market observations under fixed rules; all returns remain hypothetical. Users review each scheduled signal and place any resulting trades in their own brokerage. BestFolio does not execute trades or provide personalized investment advice.
- Cadence
- Monthly
- Backtest data through
- 2026-09-04
- History boundary
- The recorded 2024-10-22 publication or construction boundary separates pre-publication simulation from later market observations under fixed rules; all returns remain hypothetical.
- Rule / approach
- 1. Always hold 1/3 SPY and 1/3 BIL 2. Compute end-of-month ratio GLD / IEF and its 84-month moving average 3. If ratio > 84-month MA (gold regime): hold 1/3 GLD, 0 IEF 4. If ratio < 84-month MA (bond regime): hold 1/3 IEF, 0 GLD 5.…
- BestFolio supplies
- the public rule or approach and backtest context; current signals, allocations, and paid interactive data remain restricted to Pro access
- Customer action
- Review each scheduled signal and place any required trades in your own brokerage; BestFolio does not execute orders.
- Costs and exclusions
- net of a modeled one-way transaction cost (10 bps, scaled up to 3x under stress); taxes, fund-expense drift, or market impact are not modeled
- Freshness
- The latest available backtest ends 2026-09-04. A run timestamp is not exposed here, so no stronger freshness claim is made.
- Next expected action
- First trading day of October; scheduled 2026-10-01 at 09:30 ET. Review the published signal before placing any trade.
Permanent Portfolio (Gave) at a glance
Permanent Portfolio (Gave) is a tactical asset allocation (TAA) strategy by Charles Gave across US Equity, Gold, Intermediate-Term Treasuries, Cash (T-Bills), rebalanced monthly. Backtested 1992-02-28 to 2026-09-04 (34.5 years): 8.1% CAGR, 1.21 Sharpe, -22.3% max drawdown, 7.8% volatility.
- Type
- Tactical (TAA)
- Author
- Charles Gave
- Rebalancing
- Monthly
- Period
- 1992-02-28 to 2026-09-04
- CAGR
- 8.1%
- Sharpe
- 1.21
- Max Drawdown
- -22.3%
- Volatility
- 7.8%
Permanent Portfolio (Gave) — Tactical Asset Allocation Strategy
Charles Gave's dynamic variant of Harry Browne's Permanent Portfolio, introduced in his 2024 book 'Cessez de vous faire avoir'. The equity sleeve is fixed at 1/3 SPY. The remaining 2/3 are split between an inflation hedge (GLD) and a deflation hedge (IEF) based on a 7-year moving-average regime signal computed on the GLD/IEF ratio. When gold is outperforming bonds (ratio above its 7Y MA) the portfolio leans into GLD; otherwise it leans into IEF. A cash buffer (BIL) fills the final third of the portfolio.
Permanent Portfolio (Gave): frequently asked questions
- What is Permanent Portfolio (Gave)?
- Charles Gave's dynamic permanent portfolio: 1/3 SPY fixed, 1/3 to GLD or IEF based on a 7-year MA of the GLD/IEF ratio, and 1/3 BIL.
- Who created the Permanent Portfolio (Gave) strategy?
- Permanent Portfolio (Gave) was developed by Charles Gave. It is based on Gave, C. (2024). Cessez de vous faire avoir: Occupez-vous votre epargne.
- What is the historical return and maximum drawdown of Permanent Portfolio (Gave)?
- Backtested from 1992-02-28 to 2026-09-04, Permanent Portfolio (Gave) returned 8.1% CAGR with a -22.3% maximum drawdown and a Sharpe ratio of 1.21. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
- How often is Permanent Portfolio (Gave) rebalanced?
- Permanent Portfolio (Gave) is rebalanced monthly. BestFolio publishes the updated allocation signal each period.
- Is Permanent Portfolio (Gave) a tactical asset allocation strategy?
- Yes. Permanent Portfolio (Gave) is a tactical asset allocation (TAA) strategy: it adjusts its holdings based on market signals each period rather than holding a fixed allocation.
Backtest Performance (1992-02-28 to 2026-09-04)
| Metric | Permanent Portfolio (Gave) |
|---|---|
| CAGR | 8.1% |
| Max Drawdown | -22.3% |
| Sharpe | 1.21 |
| Sortino | 2.08 |
| Volatility | 7.8% |
| Calmar | 0.36 |
| Total Return | 1385.2% |
| Backtest Period | 34.5 years |
Strategy Details
- Type
- Tactical (TAA)
- Rebalancing
- monthly
- Variants
- 1
- Author
- Charles Gave
- Source
- Gave, C. (2024). Cessez de vous faire avoir: Occupez-vous votre epargne
Asset Classes
- US Equity
- Gold
- Intermediate-Term Treasuries
- Cash (T-Bills)
Further reading
New to this approach? Read what tactical asset allocation is and how it works.
Holding Permanent Portfolio (Gave) alongside another strategy? Use the free portfolio overlap calculator to see how much of the two portfolios actually differs.
Track Permanent Portfolio (Gave) in Your Portfolio
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