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Strategies/Golden Butterfly

Golden Butterfly

StaticFreemoderateRobustness 1.00

Based on research by Tyler (Portfolio Charts) · Tyler. The Golden Butterfly Portfolio. Portfolio Charts

This is BestFolio's independent implementation. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the original author.

Launched Apr 18, 2016
staticall-weather

About this Strategy

The Golden Butterfly portfolio was created by Tyler at Portfolio Charts as an evolution of Harry Browne's Permanent Portfolio. It keeps the four pillars but replaces 20% of the broad stock allocation with small-cap value, adding a factor premium backed by the Fama-French size and value research. Five equal 20% slices: SPY, IWN (small-cap value), TLT, SHY, and GLD.

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Strategy Rules

  1. 1Allocate 20% to SPY (S&P 500)
  2. 2Allocate 20% to IWN (Russell 2000 Value)
  3. 3Allocate 20% to TLT (20+ Year Treasury Bonds)
  4. 4Allocate 20% to SHY (1-3 Year Treasury Bonds)
  5. 5Allocate 20% to GLD (Gold)
  6. 6Rebalance annually or when drift exceeds threshold

Asset Universe

5 instruments this strategy can hold

GLD
Gold
IWN
Russell 2000 Value
SHY
1-3Y Treasuries
SPY
S&P 500
TLT
20+ Year Treasuries

Key Differentiators

Annual rebalancingFixed allocationModerate risk

Research Source

T(

Based on research by Tyler (Portfolio Charts)

Tyler. The Golden Butterfly Portfolio. Portfolio Charts

Read original paper →

Strategy Info

Type
Fixed / Strategic
Frequency
annual
Next Rebalance
Jan 409:30 ET (184d)
Variants
1
Risk Category
moderate
Regime
Static
Signal Date
2026-07-02
Tags
static, all-weather
Type
Fixed/Strategic Asset Allocation
Trading Frequency
Annual or on-drift rebalancing
Number Of Holdings
5 ETFs
Equity Allocation
40% (20% large-cap + 20% small-cap value)
Bond Allocation
40% (20% long-term + 20% short-term)
Gold Allocation
20%
Philosophy
Equal-weight all-weather with value factor tilt
Risk Level
Moderate

Asset Classes

US EquityUS Small-Cap ValueLong-Term TreasuriesShort-Term TreasuriesGold

Golden Butterfly at a glance

Golden Butterfly is a fixed-allocation portfolio by Tyler (Portfolio Charts) across US Equity, US Small-Cap Value, Long-Term Treasuries, Short-Term Treasuries, rebalanced annual. Backtested 1987-12-31 to 2026-07-03 (38.5 years): 8.3% CAGR, 1.13 Sharpe, -19.9% max drawdown, 7.9% volatility.

Type
Fixed Allocation
Author
Tyler (Portfolio Charts)
Rebalancing
Annual
Risk
Moderate
Period
1987-12-31 to 2026-07-03
CAGR
8.3%
Sharpe
1.13
Max Drawdown
-19.9%
Volatility
7.9%

Golden Butterfly Fixed Allocation Portfolio

The Golden Butterfly portfolio was created by Tyler at Portfolio Charts as an evolution of Harry Browne's Permanent Portfolio. It keeps the four pillars but replaces 20% of the broad stock allocation with small-cap value, adding a factor premium backed by the Fama-French size and value research. Five equal 20% slices: SPY, IWN (small-cap value), TLT, SHY, and GLD.

Golden Butterfly: frequently asked questions

What is Golden Butterfly?
Five equal 20% slices: total market, small-cap value, long bonds, short bonds, and gold. Exceptional risk-adjusted returns.
Who created the Golden Butterfly strategy?
Golden Butterfly was developed by Tyler (Portfolio Charts). It is based on Tyler. The Golden Butterfly Portfolio. Portfolio Charts.
What is the historical return and maximum drawdown of Golden Butterfly?
Backtested from 1987-12-31 to 2026-07-03, Golden Butterfly returned 8.3% CAGR with a -19.9% maximum drawdown and a Sharpe ratio of 1.13. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
How often is Golden Butterfly rebalanced?
Golden Butterfly is rebalanced annual. BestFolio publishes the updated allocation signal each period.
Is Golden Butterfly a fixed or tactical strategy?
Golden Butterfly is a fixed-allocation (strategic) portfolio: it holds a set allocation and rebalances on schedule rather than rotating based on market signals.

Backtest Performance (1987-12-31 to 2026-07-03)

MetricGolden Butterfly
Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR)8.3%
Maximum Drawdown-19.9%
Sharpe Ratio1.13
Sortino Ratio1.53
Annualized Volatility7.9%
Calmar Ratio0.42
Total Return2085.4%
Backtest Period38.5 years

Strategy Details

Type
Fixed / Strategic
Rebalancing
annual
Risk Level
moderate
Variants
1
Author
Tyler (Portfolio Charts)
Source
Tyler. The Golden Butterfly Portfolio. Portfolio Charts

Asset Classes

  • US Equity
  • US Small-Cap Value
  • Long-Term Treasuries
  • Short-Term Treasuries
  • Gold

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