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Drawdown history

VUG observed max drawdown: 47.2%

Vanguard Growth ETF. From its 2007-10-31 peak, VUG fell 47.2% to the 2009-02-28 trough and needed 3.3 years to make a new high (2011-02-28). Computed from 272 months of observed fund history. Fund inception boundary (first available fund observation): 2004-01-30; the monthly analysis runs from 2004-01-31 through 2026-08-31.

Before 2004-01-30, the extended history is simulated. Observed fund drawdowns come first; simulation assumptions and results are separated below.

What is VUG's observed maximum drawdown?

VUG's observed maximum drawdown was 47.2%, from a peak in 2007-10-31 to a trough in 2009-02-28, based on monthly closes from fund prices first observed on 2004-01-30. The sample contains 272 monthly observations through 2026-08-31. Monthly closes can miss deeper daily losses.

VUG: observed fund prices, monthly closes
MeasureValue
Maximum drawdown-47.2%
Peak2007-10-31
Trough2009-02-28
Recovered2011-02-28
Monthly observations272

Last verified

What is VUG's observed maximum drawdown?

VUG's observed maximum drawdown was 47.2%, from a peak in 2007-10-31 to a trough in 2009-02-28, based on monthly closes from fund prices first observed on 2004-01-30.

How long did VUG take to recover from its worst drawdown?

VUG took 3.3 years from the 2007-10-31 peak to make a new high in 2011-02-28, based only on observed fund prices.

What was VUG's worst 12-month return?

VUG's worst observed rolling 12-month return was -40.0%, in the 12 months ending 2009-02-28.

VUG observed fund drawdown statistics

Maximum drawdown
-47.2%

2007-10-31 peak to 2009-02-28 trough.

Recovery time
3.3 years

New high reached 2011-02-28.

Time underwater
63.6%

Share of all months spent below a prior high.

Worst 12 months
-40.0%

Rolling year ending 2009-02-28.

The biggest VUG drawdowns in observed fund history

DepthPeakTroughRecoveredPeak to troughTotal underwater
-47.2%2007-10-312009-02-282011-02-2816 mo3.3 years
-33.1%2021-12-312022-12-312024-01-3112 mo2.1 years
-16.4%2020-01-312020-03-312020-05-312 mo4 months
-16.2%2018-09-302018-12-312019-04-303 mo7 months
-15.1%2011-04-302011-09-302012-02-295 mo10 months

Methodology: observed VUG fund prices only, first available from 2004-01-30. Monthly closing-price statistics cover 2004-01-31 through 2026-08-31; no proxy or pre-inception simulation is included in this table. Educational information, not investment advice.

Hypothetical, not observed

Before 2004-01-30: simulated from the underlying index with assumptions

This separate series combines observed prices with a modeled pre-inception extension from 1992-10-31 through 2026-09-30. The 2026-09-30 endpoint is the legacy current partial-month bucket/month-end label, not evidence that VUG was observed through that future date. It is not observed VUG performance. The API's observed boundary is 2004-01-30; observed monthly statistics run from 2004-01-31 through 2026-08-31.

  • Rebalancing convention: monthly rebalance at month-end close; drawdown statistics use monthly closing prices.
  • Proxy source for VUG: VIGRX (proxy_etf), from 1992-10-30 to 2004-01-29.
  • Proxy source for SPY: VFINX (proxy_etf), from 1976-08-31 to 1993-01-28.
  • Proxy source for SPY: spy_tr (static_monthly), from 1900-01-31 to 1976-08-30.

Modeled extended statistics

Maximum drawdown
-53.6%

2000-03-31 peak to 2002-09-30 trough.

Recovery time
12.0 years

New high reached 2012-03-31.

Time underwater
68.1%

Share of all months spent below a prior high.

Worst 12 months
-40.0%

Rolling year ending 2009-02-28.

For context, SPY (the S&P 500 baseline) had a maximum drawdown of 50.8% over the same kind of monthly-close analysis.

Modeled extended drawdowns

DepthPeakTroughRecoveredPeak to troughTotal underwater
-53.6%2000-03-312002-09-302012-03-3130 mo12.0 years
-33.1%2021-12-312022-12-312024-01-3112 mo2.1 years
-16.4%2020-01-312020-03-312020-05-312 mo4 months
-16.2%2018-09-302018-12-312019-04-303 mo7 months
-13.0%1998-06-301998-08-311998-10-312 mo4 months

Monthly closing prices, peak-to-trough on total return where available. The pre-inception segment is a reconstruction, not a live fund record, and actual tracking, financing, taxes, spreads, and volatility drag can differ.

Drawdowns are the reason tactical strategies exist

Buy-and-hold VUG means living through every number on this page. BestFolio tracks published TAA strategies whose whole job is cutting these drawdowns, with out-of-sample track records.

VUG Observed Max Drawdown: 47.2% (2007 to 2009), Fund History Since 2004 | BestFolio