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Drawdown history

VOO observed max drawdown: 23.9%

Vanguard S&P 500 ETF. From its 2021-12-31 peak, VOO fell 23.9% to the 2022-09-30 trough and needed 2.0 years to make a new high (2023-12-31). Computed from 193 months of observed fund history. Fund inception boundary (first available fund observation): 2010-09-09; the monthly analysis runs from 2010-09-30 through 2026-09-30.

Before 2010-09-09, the extended history is simulated. Observed fund drawdowns come first; simulation assumptions and results are separated below.

What is VOO's observed maximum drawdown?

VOO's observed maximum drawdown was 23.9%, from a peak in 2021-12-31 to a trough in 2022-09-30, based on monthly closes from fund prices first observed on 2010-09-09. The sample contains 193 monthly observations through 2026-09-30. Monthly closes can miss deeper daily losses.

VOO: observed fund prices, monthly closes
MeasureValue
Maximum drawdown-23.9%
Peak2021-12-31
Trough2022-09-30
Recovered2023-12-31
Monthly observations193

Last verified

What is VOO's observed maximum drawdown?

VOO's observed maximum drawdown was 23.9%, from a peak in 2021-12-31 to a trough in 2022-09-30, based on monthly closes from fund prices first observed on 2010-09-09.

How long did VOO take to recover from its worst drawdown?

VOO took 2.0 years from the 2021-12-31 peak to make a new high in 2023-12-31, based only on observed fund prices.

What was VOO's worst 12-month return?

VOO's worst observed rolling 12-month return was -18.2%, in the 12 months ending 2022-12-31.

VOO observed fund drawdown statistics

Maximum drawdown
-23.9%

2021-12-31 peak to 2022-09-30 trough.

Recovery time
2.0 years

New high reached 2023-12-31.

Time underwater
49.7%

Share of all months spent below a prior high.

Worst 12 months
-18.2%

Rolling year ending 2022-12-31.

The biggest VOO drawdowns in observed fund history

DepthPeakTroughRecoveredPeak to troughTotal underwater
-23.9%2021-12-312022-09-302023-12-319 mo2.0 years
-19.6%2019-12-312020-03-312020-07-313 mo7 months
-16.2%2011-04-302011-09-302012-02-295 mo10 months
-13.5%2018-09-302018-12-312019-04-303 mo7 months
-8.4%2015-07-312015-09-302016-05-312 mo10 months

Methodology: observed VOO fund prices only, first available from 2010-09-09. Monthly closing-price statistics cover 2010-09-30 through 2026-09-30; no proxy or pre-inception simulation is included in this table. Educational information, not investment advice.

Hypothetical, not observed

Before 2010-09-09: simulated from the underlying index with assumptions

This separate series combines observed prices with a modeled pre-inception extension from 1970-01-31 through 2026-10-31. The 2026-10-31 endpoint is the legacy current partial-month bucket/month-end label, not evidence that VOO was observed through that future date. It is not observed VOO performance. The API's observed boundary is 2010-09-09; observed monthly statistics run from 2010-09-30 through 2026-09-30.

  • Rebalancing convention: monthly rebalance at month-end close; drawdown statistics use monthly closing prices.
  • Proxy source for VOO: SPY (proxy_etf), from 1900-01-31 to 2010-09-08.
  • Proxy source for SPY: VFINX (proxy_etf), from 1987-01-06 to 1993-01-28.
  • Proxy source for SPY: SP500_TR_DAILY (static), from 1976-08-31 to 1987-01-05.
  • Proxy source for SPY: spy_tr (static_monthly), from 1900-01-31 to 1976-08-30.

Modeled extended statistics

Maximum drawdown
-50.8%

2007-10-31 peak to 2009-02-28 trough.

Recovery time
4.4 years

New high reached 2012-03-31.

Time underwater
65.3%

Share of all months spent below a prior high.

Worst 12 months
-43.4%

Rolling year ending 2009-02-28.

For context, SPY (the S&P 500 baseline) had a maximum drawdown of 50.8% over the same kind of monthly-close analysis.

Modeled extended drawdowns

DepthPeakTroughRecoveredPeak to troughTotal underwater
-50.8%2007-10-312009-02-282012-03-3116 mo4.4 years
-44.7%2000-08-312002-09-302006-11-3025 mo6.3 years
-42.7%1972-12-311974-09-301976-06-3021 mo3.5 years
-29.8%1987-08-311987-11-301989-05-313 mo21 months
-23.9%2021-12-312022-09-302023-12-319 mo2.0 years

Monthly closing prices, peak-to-trough on total return where available. The pre-inception segment is a reconstruction, not a live fund record, and actual tracking, financing, taxes, spreads, and volatility drag can differ.

Drawdowns are the reason tactical strategies exist

Buy-and-hold VOO means living through every number on this page. BestFolio tracks published TAA strategies whose whole job is cutting these drawdowns, with out-of-sample track records.