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Split-Lookback Momentum Pair

Split-Lookback Momentum Pair is a tactical asset allocation strategy reviewed on a monthly cadence. Its hypothetical backtest runs through 2026-08-18. BestFolio supplies the public rule or approach and backtest context; current signals, allocations, and paid interactive data remain restricted to Pro access. The recorded 2024 publication or construction boundary separates pre-publication simulation from later market observations under fixed rules; all returns remain hypothetical. Users review each scheduled signal and place any resulting trades in their own brokerage. BestFolio does not execute trades or provide personalized investment advice.

Cadence
Monthly
Backtest data through
2026-08-18
History boundary
The recorded 2024 publication or construction boundary separates pre-publication simulation from later market observations under fixed rules; all returns remain hypothetical.
Rule / approach
1. Long-lookback 50%: top 1 by 12-month return (must beat BIL) 2. Short-lookback 50%: top 1 by avg 1/3/6-month returns (must beat BIL) 3. Either sub-portfolio shifts to cash if selected asset fails absolute momentum
BestFolio supplies
the public rule or approach and backtest context; current signals, allocations, and paid interactive data remain restricted to Pro access
Customer action
Review each scheduled signal and place any required trades in your own brokerage; BestFolio does not execute orders.
Costs and exclusions
net of a modeled one-way transaction cost (10 bps, scaled up to 3x under stress); taxes, fund-expense drift, or market impact are not modeled
Freshness
The latest available backtest ends 2026-08-18. A run timestamp is not exposed here, so no stronger freshness claim is made.
Next expected action
First trading day of September; scheduled 2026-09-01 at 09:30 ET. Review the published signal before placing any trade.

Split-Lookback Momentum Pair at a glance

Split-Lookback Momentum Pair is a tactical asset allocation (TAA) strategy by BestFolio Research across US Equity, International Developed, International Small Cap, Gold, rebalanced monthly. Backtested 1986-02-28 to 2026-08-18 (40.3 years): 12.0% CAGR, 0.89 Sharpe, -28.6% max drawdown, 13.9% volatility.

Type
Tactical (TAA)
Author
BestFolio Research
Rebalancing
Monthly
Risk
Moderate
Period
1986-02-28 to 2026-08-18
CAGR
12.0%
Sharpe
0.89
Max Drawdown
-28.6%
Volatility
13.9%

Split-Lookback Momentum Pair Tactical Asset Allocation Strategy

Split-lookback momentum pair: two independent 50% sub-portfolios using different momentum lookbacks. The long-lookback sleeve picks the single best asset by 12-month return; the short-lookback sleeve picks the single best by an averaged 1/3/6-month return. Both apply an absolute-momentum filter vs BIL, shifting to cash when the selected asset underperforms the cash benchmark.

Split-Lookback Momentum Pair: frequently asked questions

What is Split-Lookback Momentum Pair?
Two independent 50% sub-portfolios using different momentum lookbacks: one based on 12-month momentum, one on short-term (1/3/6-month average). Each picks a single winner from 6 assets spanning equities, gold, TIPS, and cash. Monthly rebalance.
Who created the Split-Lookback Momentum Pair strategy?
Split-Lookback Momentum Pair was developed by BestFolio Research.
What is the historical return and maximum drawdown of Split-Lookback Momentum Pair?
Backtested from 1986-02-28 to 2026-08-18, Split-Lookback Momentum Pair returned 12.0% CAGR with a -28.6% maximum drawdown and a Sharpe ratio of 0.89. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
How often is Split-Lookback Momentum Pair rebalanced?
Split-Lookback Momentum Pair is rebalanced monthly. BestFolio publishes the updated allocation signal each period.
Is Split-Lookback Momentum Pair a tactical asset allocation strategy?
Yes. Split-Lookback Momentum Pair is a tactical asset allocation (TAA) strategy: it adjusts its holdings based on market signals each period rather than holding a fixed allocation.

Backtest Performance (1986-02-28 to 2026-08-18)

MetricSplit-Lookback Momentum Pair
CAGR12.0%
Max Drawdown-28.6%
Sharpe0.89
Sortino1.38
Volatility13.9%
Calmar0.42
Total Return9486.8%
Backtest Period40.3 years

Strategy Details

Type
Tactical (TAA)
Rebalancing
monthly
Risk Level
moderate
Variants
1
Author
BestFolio Research

Asset Classes

  • US Equity
  • International Developed
  • International Small Cap
  • Gold
  • TIPS
  • Long Treasuries
  • Cash

Categories

Further reading

New to this approach? Read what tactical asset allocation is and how it works.

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