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RP3 Trend-Tilted Core at a glance

RP3 Trend-Tilted Core is a tactical asset allocation (TAA) strategy by Beyond Passive (adapted) across US Equity, Long Treasuries, Gold, Cash, rebalanced monthly. Backtested 1973-03-30 to 2026-07-03 (53.3 years): 8.3% CAGR, 1.17 Sharpe, -12.4% max drawdown, 5.1% volatility.

Type
Tactical (TAA)
Author
Beyond Passive (adapted)
Rebalancing
Monthly
Risk
Conservative
Period
1973-03-30 to 2026-07-03
CAGR
8.3%
Sharpe
1.17
Max Drawdown
-12.4%
Volatility
5.1%

RP3 Trend-Tilted Core Tactical Asset Allocation Strategy

RP3 Trend-Tilted Core keeps a three-asset inverse-volatility risk-parity core (US equity SPY, long Treasuries TLT, gold GLD) and tilts each asset independently by its own trend: an uptrend holds the full risk-parity weight, a neutral trend holds half, and a downtrend drops to cash. It is a long-only, retail substitute for a futures trend-following program, because tilting each asset independently sidesteps the asset-specific drawdowns (such as a decade-long bond bear) that a single market-wide on/off gate misses.

What drives the edge: over proxy history to 1972, the per-asset tilt lifts the core from Sharpe ~0.95 / -37% max drawdown to Sharpe ~1.5 / about -12%, and the result is robust to the exact trend signal used (it is not an over-fit to one definition). Honest caveat: that edge is concentrated in trending, divergent regimes (the 1970s-80s stagflation and bond bear); in the calm modern ETF era the tilt does not beat a static vol-targeted core on Sharpe and instead trades return for shallower drawdowns. Hold it as long-history all-weather / regime insurance, not a modern-era return booster.

RP3 Trend-Tilted Core: frequently asked questions

What is RP3 Trend-Tilted Core?
Three-asset inverse-vol risk-parity core (SPY / TLT / GLD), each asset independently tilted by its own trend: uptrend full weight, neutral half, downtrend to cash. A long-only retail substitute for a futures trend program. Built as long-history all-weather / regime insurance: the per-asset tilt roughly thirds the drawdown versus a static core over 1972+, with the edge concentrated in trending, divergent regimes rather than the calm modern era. Monthly rebalance.
Who created the RP3 Trend-Tilted Core strategy?
RP3 Trend-Tilted Core was developed by Beyond Passive (adapted). It is based on Beyond Passive, Trend Following (4/4): the poor man's trend program (2026)..
What is the historical return and maximum drawdown of RP3 Trend-Tilted Core?
Backtested from 1973-03-30 to 2026-07-03, RP3 Trend-Tilted Core returned 8.3% CAGR with a -12.4% maximum drawdown and a Sharpe ratio of 1.17. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
How often is RP3 Trend-Tilted Core rebalanced?
RP3 Trend-Tilted Core is rebalanced monthly. BestFolio publishes the updated allocation signal each period.
Is RP3 Trend-Tilted Core a tactical asset allocation strategy?
Yes. RP3 Trend-Tilted Core is a tactical asset allocation (TAA) strategy: it adjusts its holdings based on market signals each period rather than holding a fixed allocation.

Backtest Performance (1973-03-30 to 2026-07-03)

MetricRP3 Trend-Tilted Core
Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR)8.3%
Maximum Drawdown-12.4%
Sharpe Ratio1.17
Sortino Ratio1.96
Annualized Volatility5.1%
Calmar Ratio0.67
Total Return7072.9%
Backtest Period53.3 years

Strategy Details

Type
Tactical (TAA)
Rebalancing
monthly
Risk Level
conservative
Variants
2
Author
Beyond Passive (adapted)
Source
Beyond Passive, Trend Following (4/4): the poor man's trend program (2026).

Asset Classes

  • US Equity
  • Long Treasuries
  • Gold
  • Cash

Further reading

New to this approach? Read what tactical asset allocation is and how it works.

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