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White Knuckle (Carter)

White Knuckle (Carter) is a tactical asset allocation strategy reviewed on a monthly cadence. Its hypothetical backtest runs through 2026-07-23. BestFolio supplies the public rule or approach and backtest context; current signals, allocations, and paid interactive data remain restricted to Pro access. The recorded 2021 publication or construction boundary separates pre-publication simulation from later market observations under fixed rules; all returns remain hypothetical. Users review each scheduled signal and place any resulting trades in their own brokerage. BestFolio does not execute trades or provide personalized investment advice.

Cadence
Monthly
Backtest data through
2026-07-23
History boundary
The recorded 2021 publication or construction boundary separates pre-publication simulation from later market observations under fixed rules; all returns remain hypothetical.
Rule / approach
1. Core (50%): inverse-vol weight SPXL, TQQQ, TMF using 20-day volatility 2. Rotation (50%): best 3-month return from EUO, IVOL, UUP, USDU, YCS, SPXL, TQQQ, TMF
BestFolio supplies
the public rule or approach and backtest context; current signals, allocations, and paid interactive data remain restricted to Pro access
Customer action
Review each scheduled signal and place any required trades in your own brokerage; BestFolio does not execute orders.
Costs and exclusions
net of a modeled one-way transaction cost (10 bps, scaled up to 3x under stress); taxes, fund-expense drift, or market impact are not modeled
Freshness
The latest available backtest ends 2026-07-23. A run timestamp is not exposed here, so no stronger freshness claim is made.
Next expected action
First trading day of August; scheduled 2026-08-03 at 09:30 ET. Review the published signal before placing any trade.

White Knuckle (Carter) at a glance

White Knuckle (Carter) is a tactical asset allocation (TAA) strategy by David Alan Carter across Leveraged US Equity, Leveraged Nasdaq, Leveraged Long Treasuries, Currency Hedges, rebalanced monthly. Backtested 2019-09-30 to 2026-07-23 (6.8 years): 17.0% CAGR, 0.64 Sharpe, -46.3% max drawdown, 38.5% volatility.

Type
Tactical (TAA)
Author
David Alan Carter
Rebalancing
Monthly
Risk
Moderate
Period
2019-09-30 to 2026-07-23
CAGR
17.0%
Sharpe
0.64
Max Drawdown
-46.3%
Volatility
38.5%

White Knuckle (Carter) Tactical Asset Allocation Strategy

Carter's White Knuckle strategy splits 50/50: a core sleeve (inverse-vol weighted among SPXL, TQQQ, TMF) and a rotation sleeve (best 3-month return from 8 candidates including hedge assets like EUO, IVOL, UUP).

White Knuckle (Carter): frequently asked questions

What is White Knuckle (Carter)?
Leveraged dual-engine portfolio: 50% inverse-volatility risk parity across 3x ETFs (SPXL/TQQQ/TMF) plus 50% momentum rotation among 8 hedge candidates. High-conviction leveraged approach. Monthly rebalancing.
Who created the White Knuckle (Carter) strategy?
White Knuckle (Carter) was developed by David Alan Carter. It is based on Carter, D.A. White Knuckle.
What is the historical return and maximum drawdown of White Knuckle (Carter)?
Backtested from 2019-09-30 to 2026-07-23, White Knuckle (Carter) returned 17.0% CAGR with a -46.3% maximum drawdown and a Sharpe ratio of 0.64. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
How often is White Knuckle (Carter) rebalanced?
White Knuckle (Carter) is rebalanced monthly. BestFolio publishes the updated allocation signal each period.
Is White Knuckle (Carter) a tactical asset allocation strategy?
Yes. White Knuckle (Carter) is a tactical asset allocation (TAA) strategy: it adjusts its holdings based on market signals each period rather than holding a fixed allocation.

Backtest Performance (2019-09-30 to 2026-07-23)

MetricWhite Knuckle (Carter)
CAGR17.0%
Max Drawdown-46.3%
Sharpe0.64
Sortino1.15
Volatility38.5%
Calmar0.37
Total Return188.0%
Backtest Period6.8 years

Strategy Details

Type
Tactical (TAA)
Rebalancing
monthly
Risk Level
moderate
Variants
1
Author
David Alan Carter
Source
Carter, D.A. White Knuckle

Asset Classes

  • Leveraged US Equity
  • Leveraged Nasdaq
  • Leveraged Long Treasuries
  • Currency Hedges
  • Volatility

Categories

Further reading

New to this approach? Read what tactical asset allocation is and how it works.

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