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Drawdown history

QQQ observed max drawdown: 81.1%

Invesco QQQ (Nasdaq 100). From its 2000-03-31 peak, QQQ fell 81.1% to the 2002-09-30 trough and needed 14.6 years to make a new high (2014-10-31). Computed from 331 months of observed fund history. Fund inception boundary (first available fund observation): 1999-03-10; the monthly analysis runs from 1999-03-31 through 2026-09-30.

Before 1999-03-10, the extended history is simulated. Observed fund drawdowns come first; simulation assumptions and results are separated below.

What is QQQ's observed maximum drawdown?

QQQ's observed maximum drawdown was 81.1%, from a peak in 2000-03-31 to a trough in 2002-09-30, based on monthly closes from fund prices first observed on 1999-03-10. The sample contains 331 monthly observations through 2026-09-30. Monthly closes can miss deeper daily losses.

QQQ: observed fund prices, monthly closes
MeasureValue
Maximum drawdown-81.1%
Peak2000-03-31
Trough2002-09-30
Recovered2014-10-31
Monthly observations331

Last verified

What is QQQ's observed maximum drawdown?

QQQ's observed maximum drawdown was 81.1%, from a peak in 2000-03-31 to a trough in 2002-09-30, based on monthly closes from fund prices first observed on 1999-03-10.

How long did QQQ take to recover from its worst drawdown?

QQQ took 14.6 years from the 2000-03-31 peak to make a new high in 2014-10-31, based only on observed fund prices.

What was QQQ's worst 12-month return?

QQQ's worst observed rolling 12-month return was -67.3%, in the 12 months ending 2001-09-30.

QQQ observed fund drawdown statistics

Maximum drawdown
-81.1%

2000-03-31 peak to 2002-09-30 trough.

Recovery time
14.6 years

New high reached 2014-10-31.

Time underwater
77.0%

Share of all months spent below a prior high.

Worst 12 months
-67.3%

Rolling year ending 2001-09-30.

The biggest QQQ drawdowns in observed fund history

DepthPeakTroughRecoveredPeak to troughTotal underwater
-81.1%2000-03-312002-09-302014-10-3130 mo14.6 years
-32.6%2021-12-312022-12-312023-12-3112 mo2.0 years
-17.0%2018-08-312018-12-312019-04-304 mo8 months
-12.9%2020-01-312020-03-312020-04-302 mo3 months
-10.1%2025-01-312025-03-312025-06-302 mo5 months

Methodology: observed QQQ fund prices only, first available from 1999-03-10. Monthly closing-price statistics cover 1999-03-31 through 2026-09-30; no proxy or pre-inception simulation is included in this table. Educational information, not investment advice.

Hypothetical, not observed

Before 1999-03-10: simulated from the underlying index with assumptions

This separate series combines observed prices with a modeled pre-inception extension from 1970-01-31 through 2026-10-31. The 2026-10-31 endpoint is the legacy current partial-month bucket/month-end label, not evidence that QQQ was observed through that future date. It is not observed QQQ performance. The API's observed boundary is 1999-03-10; observed monthly statistics run from 1999-03-31 through 2026-09-30.

  • Rebalancing convention: monthly rebalance at month-end close; drawdown statistics use monthly closing prices.
  • Proxy source for QQQ: ^NDX (proxy_index), from 1985-10-01 to 1999-03-09.
  • Proxy source for QQQ: FF_BIG_GROWTH_DAILY (static), from 1926-06-30 to 1985-09-30.
  • Proxy source for SPY: VFINX (proxy_etf), from 1987-01-06 to 1993-01-28.
  • Proxy source for SPY: SP500_TR_DAILY (static), from 1976-08-31 to 1987-01-05.
  • Proxy source for SPY: spy_tr (static_monthly), from 1900-01-31 to 1976-08-30.

Modeled extended statistics

Maximum drawdown
-81.1%

2000-03-31 peak to 2002-09-30 trough.

Recovery time
14.6 years

New high reached 2014-10-31.

Time underwater
74.5%

Share of all months spent below a prior high.

Worst 12 months
-67.3%

Rolling year ending 2001-09-30.

For context, SPY (the S&P 500 baseline) had a maximum drawdown of 50.8% over the same kind of monthly-close analysis.

Modeled extended drawdowns

DepthPeakTroughRecoveredPeak to troughTotal underwater
-81.1%2000-03-312002-09-302014-10-3130 mo14.6 years
-50.9%1972-12-311974-09-301980-01-3121 mo7.1 years
-34.5%1987-08-311987-11-301989-05-313 mo21 months
-32.6%2021-12-312022-12-312023-12-3112 mo2.0 years
-27.5%1990-06-301990-10-311991-02-284 mo8 months

Monthly closing prices, peak-to-trough on total return where available. The pre-inception segment is a reconstruction, not a live fund record, and actual tracking, financing, taxes, spreads, and volatility drag can differ.

Drawdowns are the reason tactical strategies exist

Buy-and-hold QQQ means living through every number on this page. BestFolio tracks published TAA strategies whose whole job is cutting these drawdowns, with out-of-sample track records.