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Strategies/GTAA (Global Tactical Asset Allocation)

GTAA (Global Tactical Asset Allocation)

TacticalPromoderate

Based on research by Meb Faber · Faber, M. (2006). A Quantitative Approach to Tactical Asset Allocation

This is BestFolio's independent implementation. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the original author.

Launched 2006
momentummulti asset

About this Strategy

Trend-following across five major asset classes (US stocks, intl stocks, REITs, bonds, commodities). Each asset held only when above its 10-month SMA; below-trend slices move to cash.

The complete strategy logic, asset universe, and rebalancing rules are available to Pro subscribers. This includes the full methodology description, author notes, and implementation details.

Pro subscribers also get access to current signals, full backtest history, and the ability to blend this strategy into custom portfolios.

Strategy Rules

Pro subscribers only

  1. 1GTAA-5: Equal-weight 5 assets (SPY, EFA, VNQ, IEF, DBC) at 20% each
  2. 2For each asset: if price > 200-day SMA → hold; else → that 20% goes to cash (BIL)
  3. 3GTAA-AGG variant: rank 13-asset universe by average 1/3/6/12-month returns, pick top N
  4. 4Apply same 200-day SMA filter to selected assets; failed assets go to cash

Asset Universe

Pro subscribers only

5 instruments this strategy can hold

SPY
S&P 500
EFA
MSCI EAFE
VNQ
US REITs
IEF
7-10Y Treasuries
DBC
Commodities

Key Differentiators

Monthly rebalancingTactical rotationModerate riskMomentum-based2 variants

Research Source

MF

Based on research by Meb Faber

Faber, M. (2006). A Quantitative Approach to Tactical Asset Allocation

Strategy Info

Type
Tactical (TAA)
Frequency
monthly
Next Rebalance
Jun 109:30 ET (10d)
Variants
2
Risk Category
moderate
Tags
momentum, multi asset
Type
Tactical Asset Allocation (TAA)
Trading Frequency
Monthly (last trading day)
Rebalancing
Full portfolio rebalance each month
Universe Size
5 assets (GTAA-5 default) or 13 assets (GTAA-AGG variant)
Trend Filter
200-day simple moving average (daily prices)
Ranking Method
Average of 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns (used when top_n < universe size)
Concentration
Equal weight across selected assets (20% each for GTAA-5)
Cash Mechanism
Assets below 200-day SMA → allocation moved to BIL
Data Source
Institutional-grade market data (13 months minimum history + 200 trading days for SMA)

Asset Classes

US EquityInternational EquityREITsUS TreasuriesCommodities

GTAA (Global Tactical Asset Allocation) at a glance

GTAA (Global Tactical Asset Allocation) is a tactical asset allocation (TAA) strategy by Meb Faber across US Equity, International Equity, REITs, US Treasuries, rebalanced monthly. Backtested 1986-02-28 to 2026-05-20 (40.2 years): 7.6% CAGR, 1.08 Sharpe, -16.8% max drawdown, 7.0% volatility.

Type
Tactical (TAA)
Author
Meb Faber
Rebalancing
Monthly
Risk
Moderate
Period
1986-02-28 to 2026-05-20
CAGR
7.6%
Sharpe
1.08
Max Drawdown
-16.8%
Volatility
7.0%

GTAA (Global Tactical Asset Allocation) Tactical Asset Allocation Strategy

Global Tactical Asset Allocation (GTAA) by Meb Faber is a trend-following strategy that applies a simple moving average filter across multiple asset classes. In its base form (GTAA-5), five asset classes are held at equal weight (20% each), but any asset trading below its 200-day SMA has its allocation moved to cash (BIL). The AGG3 variant expands to a 13-asset universe, ranks assets by average multi-period momentum (1/3/6/12-month returns), selects the top 3, and then applies the same SMA trend filter.

Backtest Performance (1986-02-28 to 2026-05-20)

MetricGTAA (Global Tactical Asset Allocation)
Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR)7.6%
Maximum Drawdown-16.8%
Sharpe Ratio1.08
Sortino Ratio1.35
Annualized Volatility7.0%
Calmar Ratio0.45
Total Return1820.6%
Backtest Period40.2 years

Strategy Details

Type
Tactical (TAA)
Rebalancing
monthly
Risk Level
moderate
Variants
2
Author
Meb Faber
Source
Faber, M. (2006). A Quantitative Approach to Tactical Asset Allocation

Asset Classes

  • US Equity
  • International Equity
  • REITs
  • US Treasuries
  • Commodities

Track GTAA (Global Tactical Asset Allocation) in Your Portfolio

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Disclaimer: BestFolio is an informational tool only and does not provide investment advice, recommendations, or solicitations to buy or sell securities. All strategy signals, backtests, and performance metrics are provided for educational and research purposes. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your own investment decisions. BestFolio is not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial planner. Always consult a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.

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