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Dynamic Macro Allocation (Sadek)

Dynamic Macro Allocation (Sadek) is a tactical asset allocation strategy reviewed on a monthly cadence. Its hypothetical backtest runs through 2026-08-21. BestFolio supplies the public rule or approach and backtest context; current signals, allocations, and paid interactive data remain restricted to Pro access. The recorded 2026 publication or construction boundary separates pre-publication simulation from later market observations under fixed rules; all returns remain hypothetical. Users review each scheduled signal and place any resulting trades in their own brokerage. BestFolio does not execute trades or provide personalized investment advice.

Cadence
Monthly
Backtest data through
2026-08-21
History boundary
The recorded 2026 publication or construction boundary separates pre-publication simulation from later market observations under fixed rules; all returns remain hypothetical.
Rule / approach
1. Universe: MGK, PDBC, GLDM, BOND, VGLT, MINT, VCSH 2. Each month, compute 1/3/6/9 month returns per asset and average (25% each) 3. Rank assets by composite return, select top 2 4. Assign Geometric Increasing weights: top-ranked 33.3%…
BestFolio supplies
the public rule or approach and backtest context; current signals, allocations, and paid interactive data remain restricted to Pro access
Customer action
Review each scheduled signal and place any required trades in your own brokerage; BestFolio does not execute orders.
Costs and exclusions
net of a modeled one-way transaction cost (10 bps, scaled up to 3x under stress); taxes, fund-expense drift, or market impact are not modeled
Freshness
The latest available backtest ends 2026-08-21. A run timestamp is not exposed here, so no stronger freshness claim is made.
Next expected action
First trading day of September; scheduled 2026-09-01 at 09:30 ET. Review the published signal before placing any trade.

Dynamic Macro Allocation (Sadek) at a glance

Dynamic Macro Allocation (Sadek) is a tactical asset allocation (TAA) strategy by Bill Sadek across US Mega-Cap Growth, Diversified Commodities, Gold, US Core Bonds, rebalanced monthly. Backtested 1993-11-30 to 2026-08-21 (32.6 years): 11.7% CAGR, 1.16 Sharpe, -14.5% max drawdown, 11.2% volatility.

Type
Tactical (TAA)
Author
Bill Sadek
Rebalancing
Monthly
Period
1993-11-30 to 2026-08-21
CAGR
11.7%
Sharpe
1.16
Max Drawdown
-14.5%
Volatility
11.2%

Dynamic Macro Allocation (Sadek) Tactical Asset Allocation Strategy

Bill Sadek's Dynamic Macro Allocation model, contributed April 2026.

Each month, the 7-ETF macro universe (MGK mega-cap growth, PDBC diversified commodities, GLDM gold, BOND core bonds, VGLT long Treasury, MINT ultra-short bonds, VCSH short-term corporates) is scored using a composite momentum across four lookback periods (1, 3, 6 and 9 months) weighted 25% each. Unlike rank-order weighting (which Alpha-One uses), this strategy uses 'weight performance' which averages the actual returns across periods.

Dynamic Macro Allocation (Sadek): frequently asked questions

What is Dynamic Macro Allocation (Sadek)?
Bill Sadek's Dynamic Macro Allocation model. 7-ETF macro universe, multi-period performance-weighted momentum (1/3/6/9 months, 25% each), top-2 selection with Geometric Increasing weights (67%/33%), 6-month SMA trend filter per selected asset (failed assets move to cash). Monthly rebalance.
Who created the Dynamic Macro Allocation (Sadek) strategy?
Dynamic Macro Allocation (Sadek) was developed by Bill Sadek. It is based on Contributed by Bill Sadek (2026-04)..
What is the historical return and maximum drawdown of Dynamic Macro Allocation (Sadek)?
Backtested from 1993-11-30 to 2026-08-21, Dynamic Macro Allocation (Sadek) returned 11.7% CAGR with a -14.5% maximum drawdown and a Sharpe ratio of 1.16. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
How often is Dynamic Macro Allocation (Sadek) rebalanced?
Dynamic Macro Allocation (Sadek) is rebalanced monthly. BestFolio publishes the updated allocation signal each period.
Is Dynamic Macro Allocation (Sadek) a tactical asset allocation strategy?
Yes. Dynamic Macro Allocation (Sadek) is a tactical asset allocation (TAA) strategy: it adjusts its holdings based on market signals each period rather than holding a fixed allocation.

Backtest Performance (1993-11-30 to 2026-08-21)

MetricDynamic Macro Allocation (Sadek)
CAGR11.7%
Max Drawdown-14.5%
Sharpe1.16
Sortino1.82
Volatility11.2%
Calmar0.81
Total Return3575.2%
Backtest Period32.6 years

Strategy Details

Type
Tactical (TAA)
Rebalancing
monthly
Variants
1
Author
Bill Sadek
Source
Contributed by Bill Sadek (2026-04).

Asset Classes

  • US Mega-Cap Growth
  • Diversified Commodities
  • Gold
  • US Core Bonds
  • Long-Term Treasuries
  • Ultra-Short Bonds
  • Short-Term Corporates

Further reading

New to this approach? Read what tactical asset allocation is and how it works.

Holding Dynamic Macro Allocation (Sadek) alongside another strategy? Use the free portfolio overlap calculator to see how much of the two portfolios actually differs.

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