Dynamic Macro Allocation (BestFolio) at a glance
Dynamic Macro Allocation (BestFolio) is a tactical asset allocation (TAA) strategy by Bill Sadek (BestFolio adaptation) across US Mega-Cap Growth, Diversified Commodities, Gold, US Core Bonds, rebalanced monthly. Backtested 1993-11-30 to 2026-05-25 (32.5 years): 10.0% CAGR, 0.99 Sharpe, -21.7% max drawdown, 10.1% volatility.
- Type
- Tactical (TAA)
- Author
- Bill Sadek (BestFolio adaptation)
- Rebalancing
- Monthly
- Period
- 1993-11-30 to 2026-05-25
- CAGR
- 10.0%
- Sharpe
- 0.99
- Max Drawdown
- -21.7%
- Volatility
- 10.1%
Dynamic Macro Allocation (BestFolio) — Tactical Asset Allocation Strategy
Bill Sadek's Dynamic Macro Allocation builds on Harry Browne's Permanent Portfolio (1980s) tradition of asset-class diversification, replacing the static all-weather approach with a rules-based, dynamic allocator that ranks asset classes by relative strength and concentrates capital in the current leaders while avoiding laggards.
Each month, the 7-ETF macro universe (mega-cap growth, commodities, gold, and four bond sleeves) is scored by 6-month total return. Assets with non-positive momentum are dropped. Survivors are weighted proportionally to their momentum scores, with a 40% maximum per asset (excess is redistributed), producing a dynamic allocation that shifts materially month to month (e.g. Bill's PDBC allocation went from 66% to 33% in a single month when commodity leadership faded).
Backtest Performance (1993-11-30 to 2026-05-25)
| Metric | Dynamic Macro Allocation (BestFolio) |
|---|---|
| Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) | 10.0% |
| Maximum Drawdown | -21.7% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.99 |
| Sortino Ratio | 1.25 |
| Annualized Volatility | 10.1% |
| Calmar Ratio | 0.46 |
| Total Return | 2101.4% |
| Backtest Period | 32.5 years |
Strategy Details
- Type
- Tactical (TAA)
- Rebalancing
- monthly
- Variants
- 1
- Author
- Bill Sadek (BestFolio adaptation)
- Source
- Contributed by Bill Sadek (2026-04). Builds on Harry Browne's Permanent Portfolio concept (1980s) with a dynamic, momentum-based allocation overlay.
Asset Classes
- US Mega-Cap Growth
- Diversified Commodities
- Gold
- US Core Bonds
- Long-Term Treasuries
- Ultra-Short Bonds
- Short-Term Corporates
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