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Dynamic Macro Allocation (BestFolio) at a glance

Dynamic Macro Allocation (BestFolio) is a tactical asset allocation (TAA) strategy by Bill Sadek (BestFolio adaptation) across US Mega-Cap Growth, Diversified Commodities, Gold, US Core Bonds, rebalanced monthly. Backtested 1993-11-30 to 2026-05-25 (32.5 years): 10.0% CAGR, 0.99 Sharpe, -21.7% max drawdown, 10.1% volatility.

Type
Tactical (TAA)
Author
Bill Sadek (BestFolio adaptation)
Rebalancing
Monthly
Period
1993-11-30 to 2026-05-25
CAGR
10.0%
Sharpe
0.99
Max Drawdown
-21.7%
Volatility
10.1%

Dynamic Macro Allocation (BestFolio) Tactical Asset Allocation Strategy

Bill Sadek's Dynamic Macro Allocation builds on Harry Browne's Permanent Portfolio (1980s) tradition of asset-class diversification, replacing the static all-weather approach with a rules-based, dynamic allocator that ranks asset classes by relative strength and concentrates capital in the current leaders while avoiding laggards.

Each month, the 7-ETF macro universe (mega-cap growth, commodities, gold, and four bond sleeves) is scored by 6-month total return. Assets with non-positive momentum are dropped. Survivors are weighted proportionally to their momentum scores, with a 40% maximum per asset (excess is redistributed), producing a dynamic allocation that shifts materially month to month (e.g. Bill's PDBC allocation went from 66% to 33% in a single month when commodity leadership faded).

Backtest Performance (1993-11-30 to 2026-05-25)

MetricDynamic Macro Allocation (BestFolio)
Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR)10.0%
Maximum Drawdown-21.7%
Sharpe Ratio0.99
Sortino Ratio1.25
Annualized Volatility10.1%
Calmar Ratio0.46
Total Return2101.4%
Backtest Period32.5 years

Strategy Details

Type
Tactical (TAA)
Rebalancing
monthly
Variants
1
Author
Bill Sadek (BestFolio adaptation)
Source
Contributed by Bill Sadek (2026-04). Builds on Harry Browne's Permanent Portfolio concept (1980s) with a dynamic, momentum-based allocation overlay.

Asset Classes

  • US Mega-Cap Growth
  • Diversified Commodities
  • Gold
  • US Core Bonds
  • Long-Term Treasuries
  • Ultra-Short Bonds
  • Short-Term Corporates

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Disclaimer: BestFolio is an informational tool only and does not provide investment advice, recommendations, or solicitations to buy or sell securities. All strategy signals, backtests, and performance metrics are provided for educational and research purposes. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your own investment decisions. BestFolio is not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial planner. Always consult a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.

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