All Weather (Dalio)
All Weather (Dalio) is a fixed-allocation portfolio reviewed on a annual cadence. Its hypothetical backtest runs through 2026-07-31. BestFolio supplies the public rule or approach and backtest context; current signals, allocations, and paid interactive data remain restricted to Pro access. The recorded 2012-01 publication or construction boundary separates pre-publication simulation from later market observations under fixed rules; all returns remain hypothetical. Users review each scheduled signal and place any resulting trades in their own brokerage. BestFolio does not execute trades or provide personalized investment advice.
- Cadence
- Annual
- Backtest data through
- 2026-07-31
- History boundary
- The recorded 2012-01 publication or construction boundary separates pre-publication simulation from later market observations under fixed rules; all returns remain hypothetical.
- Rule / approach
- 1. Allocate 30% to SPY (S&P 500) 2. Allocate 40% to TLT (20+ Year Treasury Bonds) 3. Allocate 15% to IEI (3-7 Year Treasury Bonds) 4. Allocate 7.5% to GLD (Gold) 5. Allocate 7.5% to DBC (Broad Commodities) 6. Rebalance annually or when…
- BestFolio supplies
- the public rule or approach and backtest context; current signals, allocations, and paid interactive data remain restricted to Pro access
- Customer action
- Review each scheduled signal and place any required trades in your own brokerage; BestFolio does not execute orders.
- Costs and exclusions
- net of a modeled one-way transaction cost (10 bps, scaled up to 3x under stress); taxes, fund-expense drift, or market impact are not modeled
- Freshness
- The latest available backtest ends 2026-07-31. A run timestamp is not exposed here, so no stronger freshness claim is made.
- Next expected action
- First trading day of 2027 (annual); scheduled 2027-01-04 at 09:30 ET. Review the published signal before placing any trade.
All Weather (Dalio) at a glance
All Weather (Dalio) is a fixed-allocation portfolio by Ray Dalio across US Equity, Long-Term Treasuries, Intermediate Treasuries, Gold, rebalanced annual. Backtested 1971-12-31 to 2026-07-31 (54.5 years): 7.7% CAGR, 0.98 Sharpe, -22.5% max drawdown, 6.8% volatility.
- Type
- Fixed Allocation
- Author
- Ray Dalio
- Rebalancing
- Annual
- Risk
- Conservative
- Period
- 1971-12-31 to 2026-07-31
- CAGR
- 7.7%
- Sharpe
- 0.98
- Max Drawdown
- -22.5%
- Volatility
- 6.8%
All Weather (Dalio) — Fixed Allocation Portfolio
The All Weather portfolio was designed by Ray Dalio and Bridgewater Associates to perform well across all economic environments. The core insight is risk parity: each economic regime should be equally balanced in terms of risk contribution. The 55% bond allocation provides the deflation/recession hedge, 30% equities cover growth, and 15% commodities (gold + broad) protect against inflation.
All Weather (Dalio): frequently asked questions
- What is All Weather (Dalio)?
- Designed for all economic seasons: 30% stocks, 55% bonds, 15% commodities. The retail version of Bridgewater's risk-parity approach.
- Who created the All Weather (Dalio) strategy?
- All Weather (Dalio) was developed by Ray Dalio. It is based on Dalio, R. / Bridgewater Associates. The All Weather Story (2012).
- What is the historical return and maximum drawdown of All Weather (Dalio)?
- Backtested from 1971-12-31 to 2026-07-31, All Weather (Dalio) returned 7.7% CAGR with a -22.5% maximum drawdown and a Sharpe ratio of 0.98. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
- How often is All Weather (Dalio) rebalanced?
- All Weather (Dalio) is rebalanced annual. BestFolio publishes the updated allocation signal each period.
- Is All Weather (Dalio) a fixed or tactical strategy?
- All Weather (Dalio) is a fixed-allocation (strategic) portfolio: it holds a set allocation and rebalances on schedule rather than rotating based on market signals.
Backtest Performance (1971-12-31 to 2026-07-31)
| Metric | All Weather (Dalio) |
|---|---|
| CAGR | 7.7% |
| Max Drawdown | -22.5% |
| Sharpe | 0.98 |
| Sortino | 1.50 |
| Volatility | 6.8% |
| Calmar | 0.34 |
| Total Return | 5485.9% |
| Backtest Period | 54.5 years |
Strategy Details
- Type
- Fixed / Strategic
- Rebalancing
- annual
- Risk Level
- conservative
- Variants
- 1
- Author
- Ray Dalio
- Source
- Dalio, R. / Bridgewater Associates. The All Weather Story (2012)
Asset Classes
- US Equity
- Long-Term Treasuries
- Intermediate Treasuries
- Gold
- Commodities
Categories
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