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Drawdown history

VWO observed max drawdown: 61.7%

Vanguard Emerging Markets ETF. From its 2007-10-31 peak, VWO fell 61.7% to the 2009-02-28 trough and needed 10.0 years to make a new high (2017-10-31). Computed from 258 months of observed fund history. Fund inception boundary (first available fund observation): 2005-03-10; the monthly analysis runs from 2005-03-31 through 2026-08-31.

Before 2005-03-10, the extended history is simulated. Observed fund drawdowns come first; simulation assumptions and results are separated below.

What is VWO's observed maximum drawdown?

VWO's observed maximum drawdown was 61.7%, from a peak in 2007-10-31 to a trough in 2009-02-28, based on monthly closes from fund prices first observed on 2005-03-10. The sample contains 258 monthly observations through 2026-08-31. Monthly closes can miss deeper daily losses.

VWO: observed fund prices, monthly closes
MeasureValue
Maximum drawdown-61.7%
Peak2007-10-31
Trough2009-02-28
Recovered2017-10-31
Monthly observations258

Last verified

What is VWO's observed maximum drawdown?

VWO's observed maximum drawdown was 61.7%, from a peak in 2007-10-31 to a trough in 2009-02-28, based on monthly closes from fund prices first observed on 2005-03-10.

How long did VWO take to recover from its worst drawdown?

VWO took 10.0 years from the 2007-10-31 peak to make a new high in 2017-10-31, based only on observed fund prices.

What was VWO's worst 12-month return?

VWO's worst observed rolling 12-month return was -56.3%, in the 12 months ending 2008-11-30.

VWO observed fund drawdown statistics

Maximum drawdown
-61.7%

2007-10-31 peak to 2009-02-28 trough.

Recovery time
10.0 years

New high reached 2017-10-31.

Time underwater
84.5%

Share of all months spent below a prior high.

Worst 12 months
-56.3%

Rolling year ending 2008-11-30.

The biggest VWO drawdowns in observed fund history

DepthPeakTroughRecoveredPeak to troughTotal underwater
-61.7%2007-10-312009-02-282017-10-3116 mo10.0 years
-31.9%2021-06-302022-10-312025-06-3016 mo4.0 years
-28.3%2018-01-312020-03-312020-11-3026 mo2.8 years
-11.4%2006-04-302006-06-302006-11-302 mo7 months
-7.0%2026-02-282026-03-312026-04-301 mo2 months

Methodology: observed VWO fund prices only, first available from 2005-03-10. Monthly closing-price statistics cover 2005-03-31 through 2026-08-31; no proxy or pre-inception simulation is included in this table. Educational information, not investment advice.

Hypothetical, not observed

Before 2005-03-10: simulated from the underlying index with assumptions

This separate series combines observed prices with a modeled pre-inception extension from 1970-01-31 through 2026-09-30. The 2026-09-30 endpoint is the legacy current partial-month bucket/month-end label, not evidence that VWO was observed through that future date. It is not observed VWO performance. The API's observed boundary is 2005-03-10; observed monthly statistics run from 2005-03-31 through 2026-08-31.

  • Rebalancing convention: monthly rebalance at month-end close; drawdown statistics use monthly closing prices.
  • Proxy source for VWO: EEM (proxy_etf), from 1925-12-31 to 2005-03-09.
  • Proxy source for EEM: VEIEX (proxy_etf), from 1994-05-04 to 2003-04-11.
  • Proxy source for EEM: FEMKX (proxy_etf), from 1990-10-31 to 1994-05-03.
  • Proxy source for EEM: eem_synth (static_monthly), from 1925-12-31 to 1990-10-30.
  • Proxy source for SPY: VFINX (proxy_etf), from 1976-08-31 to 1993-01-28.
  • Proxy source for SPY: spy_tr (static_monthly), from 1900-01-31 to 1976-08-30.

Modeled extended statistics

Maximum drawdown
-61.7%

2007-10-31 peak to 2009-02-28 trough.

Recovery time
10.0 years

New high reached 2017-10-31.

Time underwater
81.5%

Share of all months spent below a prior high.

Worst 12 months
-56.3%

Rolling year ending 2008-11-30.

For context, SPY (the S&P 500 baseline) had a maximum drawdown of 50.8% over the same kind of monthly-close analysis.

Modeled extended drawdowns

DepthPeakTroughRecoveredPeak to troughTotal underwater
-61.7%2007-10-312009-02-282017-10-3116 mo10.0 years
-54.0%1997-07-311998-08-312003-12-3113 mo6.4 years
-37.7%1981-06-301982-10-311985-09-3016 mo4.3 years
-35.4%1987-08-311987-11-301989-02-283 mo18 months
-32.0%1973-02-281974-10-311977-07-3120 mo4.4 years

Monthly closing prices, peak-to-trough on total return where available. The pre-inception segment is a reconstruction, not a live fund record, and actual tracking, financing, taxes, spreads, and volatility drag can differ.

Drawdowns are the reason tactical strategies exist

Buy-and-hold VWO means living through every number on this page. BestFolio tracks published TAA strategies whose whole job is cutting these drawdowns, with out-of-sample track records.

VWO Observed Max Drawdown: 61.7% (2007 to 2009), Fund History Since 2005 | BestFolio