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Drawdown history

PDBC observed max drawdown: 44.5%

Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity. From its 2014-11-30 peak, PDBC fell 44.5% to the 2020-04-30 trough and needed 6.8 years to make a new high (2021-09-30). Computed from 143 months of observed fund history. Fund inception boundary (first available fund observation): 2014-11-07; the monthly analysis runs from 2014-11-30 through 2026-09-30.

Before 2014-11-07, the extended history is simulated. Observed fund drawdowns come first; simulation assumptions and results are separated below.

What is PDBC's observed maximum drawdown?

PDBC's observed maximum drawdown was 44.5%, from a peak in 2014-11-30 to a trough in 2020-04-30, based on monthly closes from fund prices first observed on 2014-11-07. The sample contains 143 monthly observations through 2026-09-30. Monthly closes can miss deeper daily losses.

PDBC: observed fund prices, monthly closes
MeasureValue
Maximum drawdown-44.5%
Peak2014-11-30
Trough2020-04-30
Recovered2021-09-30
Monthly observations143

Last verified

What is PDBC's observed maximum drawdown?

PDBC's observed maximum drawdown was 44.5%, from a peak in 2014-11-30 to a trough in 2020-04-30, based on monthly closes from fund prices first observed on 2014-11-07.

How long did PDBC take to recover from its worst drawdown?

PDBC took 6.8 years from the 2014-11-30 peak to make a new high in 2021-09-30, based only on observed fund prices.

What was PDBC's worst 12-month return?

PDBC's worst observed rolling 12-month return was -30.7%, in the 12 months ending 2020-04-30.

PDBC observed fund drawdown statistics

Maximum drawdown
-44.5%

2014-11-30 peak to 2020-04-30 trough.

Recovery time
6.8 years

New high reached 2021-09-30.

Time underwater
91.6%

Share of all months spent below a prior high.

Worst 12 months
-30.7%

Rolling year ending 2020-04-30.

The biggest PDBC drawdowns in observed fund history

DepthPeakTroughRecoveredPeak to troughTotal underwater
-44.5%2014-11-302020-04-302021-09-3065 mo6.8 years
-23.1%2022-05-312023-05-312026-03-3112 mo3.8 years
-14.3%2026-04-302026-06-302026-08-312 mo4 months
-8.4%2021-10-312021-11-302022-01-311 mo3 months

Methodology: observed PDBC fund prices only, first available from 2014-11-07. Monthly closing-price statistics cover 2014-11-30 through 2026-09-30; no proxy or pre-inception simulation is included in this table. Educational information, not investment advice.

Hypothetical, not observed

Before 2014-11-07: simulated from the underlying index with assumptions

This separate series combines observed prices with a modeled pre-inception extension from 1970-01-31 through 2026-10-31. The 2026-10-31 endpoint is the legacy current partial-month bucket/month-end label, not evidence that PDBC was observed through that future date. It is not observed PDBC performance. The API's observed boundary is 2014-11-07; observed monthly statistics run from 2014-11-30 through 2026-09-30.

  • Rebalancing convention: monthly rebalance at month-end close; drawdown statistics use monthly closing prices.
  • Proxy source for PDBC: DBC (proxy_etf), from 1969-12-31 to 2014-11-06.
  • Proxy source for DBC: ^SPGSCI (proxy_index), from 1984-01-03 to 2006-02-03.
  • Proxy source for DBC: gsci (static_monthly), from 1969-12-31 to 1983-12-30.
  • Proxy source for SPY: VFINX (proxy_etf), from 1987-01-06 to 1993-01-28.
  • Proxy source for SPY: SP500_TR_DAILY (static), from 1976-08-31 to 1987-01-05.
  • Proxy source for SPY: spy_tr (static_monthly), from 1900-01-31 to 1976-08-30.

Modeled extended statistics

Maximum drawdown
-74.3%

2008-06-30 peak to 2020-04-30 trough.

Recovery time
Not yet

Still below the prior peak.

Time underwater
89.6%

Share of all months spent below a prior high.

Worst 12 months
-48.7%

Rolling year ending 2009-06-30.

For context, SPY (the S&P 500 baseline) had a maximum drawdown of 50.8% over the same kind of monthly-close analysis.

Modeled extended drawdowns

DepthPeakTroughRecoveredPeak to troughTotal underwater
-74.3%2008-06-302020-04-30not yet142 mo18.3 years
-51.6%1990-09-301999-02-282003-02-28101 mo12.4 years
-37.5%1974-11-301977-07-311979-01-3132 mo4.2 years
-35.3%1980-10-311986-07-311990-09-3069 mo9.9 years
-22.6%2003-02-282003-04-302004-02-292 mo12 months

Monthly closing prices, peak-to-trough on total return where available. The pre-inception segment is a reconstruction, not a live fund record, and actual tracking, financing, taxes, spreads, and volatility drag can differ.

Drawdowns are the reason tactical strategies exist

Buy-and-hold PDBC means living through every number on this page. BestFolio tracks published TAA strategies whose whole job is cutting these drawdowns, with out-of-sample track records.