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Drawdown history

GLD observed max drawdown: 42.9%

SPDR Gold Shares. From its 2011-08-31 peak, GLD fell 42.9% to the 2015-12-31 trough and needed 8.9 years to make a new high (2020-07-31). Computed from 263 months of observed fund history. Fund inception boundary (first available fund observation): 2004-11-18; the monthly analysis runs from 2004-11-30 through 2026-09-30.

Before 2004-11-18, the extended history is simulated. Observed fund drawdowns come first; simulation assumptions and results are separated below.

What is GLD's observed maximum drawdown?

GLD's observed maximum drawdown was 42.9%, from a peak in 2011-08-31 to a trough in 2015-12-31, based on monthly closes from fund prices first observed on 2004-11-18. The sample contains 263 monthly observations through 2026-09-30. Monthly closes can miss deeper daily losses.

GLD: observed fund prices, monthly closes
MeasureValue
Maximum drawdown-42.9%
Peak2011-08-31
Trough2015-12-31
Recovered2020-07-31
Monthly observations263

Last verified

What is GLD's observed maximum drawdown?

GLD's observed maximum drawdown was 42.9%, from a peak in 2011-08-31 to a trough in 2015-12-31, based on monthly closes from fund prices first observed on 2004-11-18.

How long did GLD take to recover from its worst drawdown?

GLD took 8.9 years from the 2011-08-31 peak to make a new high in 2020-07-31, based only on observed fund prices.

What was GLD's worst 12-month return?

GLD's worst observed rolling 12-month return was -28.3%, in the 12 months ending 2013-12-31.

GLD observed fund drawdown statistics

Maximum drawdown
-42.9%

2011-08-31 peak to 2015-12-31 trough.

Recovery time
8.9 years

New high reached 2020-07-31.

Time underwater
80.6%

Share of all months spent below a prior high.

Worst 12 months
-28.3%

Rolling year ending 2013-12-31.

The biggest GLD drawdowns in observed fund history

DepthPeakTroughRecoveredPeak to troughTotal underwater
-42.9%2011-08-312015-12-312020-07-3152 mo8.9 years
-25.8%2008-02-292008-10-312009-05-318 mo15 months
-23.9%2026-02-282026-06-30not yet4 mo7 months
-18.1%2020-07-312022-10-312023-11-3027 mo3.3 years
-8.6%2006-04-302006-09-302007-02-285 mo10 months

Methodology: observed GLD fund prices only, first available from 2004-11-18. Monthly closing-price statistics cover 2004-11-30 through 2026-09-30; no proxy or pre-inception simulation is included in this table. Educational information, not investment advice.

Hypothetical, not observed

Before 2004-11-18: simulated from the underlying index with assumptions

This separate series combines observed prices with a modeled pre-inception extension from 1970-01-31 through 2026-10-31. The 2026-10-31 endpoint is the legacy current partial-month bucket/month-end label, not evidence that GLD was observed through that future date. It is not observed GLD performance. The API's observed boundary is 2004-11-18; observed monthly statistics run from 2004-11-30 through 2026-09-30.

  • Rebalancing convention: monthly rebalance at month-end close; drawdown statistics use monthly closing prices.
  • Proxy source for GLD: GC=F (proxy_index), from 2000-08-30 to 2004-11-17.
  • Proxy source for GLD: GOLD_MONTHLY (static), from 1998-12-30 to 2000-08-29.
  • Proxy source for GLD: GOLD_DAILY_BBK (static), from 1968-06-18 to 1998-12-29.
  • Proxy source for GLD: GOLD_MONTHLY (static), from 1968-01-31 to 1968-06-17.
  • Proxy source for GLD: gold (static_monthly), from 1920-01-31 to 1968-01-30.
  • Proxy source for SPY: VFINX (proxy_etf), from 1987-01-06 to 1993-01-28.
  • Proxy source for SPY: SP500_TR_DAILY (static), from 1976-08-31 to 1987-01-05.
  • Proxy source for SPY: spy_tr (static_monthly), from 1900-01-31 to 1976-08-30.

Modeled extended statistics

Maximum drawdown
-61.9%

1980-01-31 peak to 1999-07-31 trough.

Recovery time
27.7 years

New high reached 2007-09-30.

Time underwater
87.4%

Share of all months spent below a prior high.

Worst 12 months
-37.4%

Rolling year ending 1982-03-31.

For context, SPY (the S&P 500 baseline) had a maximum drawdown of 50.8% over the same kind of monthly-close analysis.

Modeled extended drawdowns

DepthPeakTroughRecoveredPeak to troughTotal underwater
-61.9%1980-01-311999-07-312007-09-30234 mo27.7 years
-46.7%1974-12-311976-08-311978-07-3120 mo3.6 years
-42.9%2011-08-312015-12-312020-07-3152 mo8.9 years
-25.8%2008-02-292008-10-312009-05-318 mo15 months
-24.2%2026-02-282026-10-31not yet8 mo8 months

Monthly closing prices, peak-to-trough on total return where available. The pre-inception segment is a reconstruction, not a live fund record, and actual tracking, financing, taxes, spreads, and volatility drag can differ.

Drawdowns are the reason tactical strategies exist

Buy-and-hold GLD means living through every number on this page. BestFolio tracks published TAA strategies whose whole job is cutting these drawdowns, with out-of-sample track records.