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Tactical Permanent Portfolio

Tactical Permanent Portfolio is a tactical asset allocation strategy reviewed on a monthly cadence. Its hypothetical backtest runs through 2026-08-19. BestFolio supplies the public rule or approach and backtest context; current signals, allocations, and paid interactive data remain restricted to Pro access. The recorded 2012-08-27 publication or construction boundary separates pre-publication simulation from later market observations under fixed rules; all returns remain hypothetical. Users review each scheduled signal and place any resulting trades in their own brokerage. BestFolio does not execute trades or provide personalized investment advice.

Cadence
Monthly
Backtest data through
2026-08-19
History boundary
The recorded 2012-08-27 publication or construction boundary separates pre-publication simulation from later market observations under fixed rules; all returns remain hypothetical.
Rule / approach
1. Start with 25% SPY, 25% TLT, 25% GLD, 25% BIL 2. Compute 12-month total return for SPY, TLT, and GLD 3. BIL always keeps its 25% allocation 4. For each risky asset: if 12m return > 0 → hold at 25%; if < 0 → shift to BIL
BestFolio supplies
the public rule or approach and backtest context; current signals, allocations, and paid interactive data remain restricted to Pro access
Customer action
Review each scheduled signal and place any required trades in your own brokerage; BestFolio does not execute orders.
Costs and exclusions
net of a modeled one-way transaction cost (10 bps, scaled up to 3x under stress); taxes, fund-expense drift, or market impact are not modeled
Freshness
The latest available backtest ends 2026-08-19. A run timestamp is not exposed here, so no stronger freshness claim is made.
Next expected action
First trading day of September; scheduled 2026-09-01 at 09:30 ET. Review the published signal before placing any trade.

Tactical Permanent Portfolio at a glance

Tactical Permanent Portfolio is a tactical asset allocation (TAA) strategy by Adam Butler (ReSolve) across US Equity, Long-Term Treasuries, Gold, Cash (T-Bills), rebalanced monthly. Backtested 1961-02-28 to 2026-08-19 (65.3 years): 7.8% CAGR, 1.44 Sharpe, -10.5% max drawdown, 4.5% volatility.

Type
Tactical (TAA)
Author
Adam Butler (ReSolve)
Rebalancing
Monthly
Risk
Conservative
Period
1961-02-28 to 2026-08-19
CAGR
7.8%
Sharpe
1.44
Max Drawdown
-10.5%
Volatility
4.5%

Tactical Permanent Portfolio Tactical Asset Allocation Strategy

Adam Butler's Tactical Permanent Portfolio adds a momentum overlay to Harry Browne's classic Permanent Portfolio. The base allocation is 25% each in SPY, TLT, GLD, and BIL. The tactical layer checks each risky asset's 12-month return; if negative, that 25% slice shifts to BIL. In the worst case, the portfolio becomes 100% BIL.

Tactical Permanent Portfolio: frequently asked questions

What is Tactical Permanent Portfolio?
Tactical overlay on the classic 25/25/25/25 Permanent Portfolio. Assets with negative 12-month returns are replaced by cash, adding momentum-based protection while preserving the core all-weather structure. Monthly rebalancing.
Who created the Tactical Permanent Portfolio strategy?
Tactical Permanent Portfolio was developed by Adam Butler (ReSolve). It is based on Butler, A. (ReSolve Asset Management). Tactical Permanent Portfolio.
What is the historical return and maximum drawdown of Tactical Permanent Portfolio?
Backtested from 1961-02-28 to 2026-08-19, Tactical Permanent Portfolio returned 7.8% CAGR with a -10.5% maximum drawdown and a Sharpe ratio of 1.44. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
How often is Tactical Permanent Portfolio rebalanced?
Tactical Permanent Portfolio is rebalanced monthly. BestFolio publishes the updated allocation signal each period.
Is Tactical Permanent Portfolio a tactical asset allocation strategy?
Yes. Tactical Permanent Portfolio is a tactical asset allocation (TAA) strategy: it adjusts its holdings based on market signals each period rather than holding a fixed allocation.

Backtest Performance (1961-02-28 to 2026-08-19)

MetricTactical Permanent Portfolio
CAGR7.8%
Max Drawdown-10.5%
Sharpe1.44
Sortino2.41
Volatility4.5%
Calmar0.74
Total Return13485.9%
Backtest Period65.3 years

Strategy Details

Type
Tactical (TAA)
Rebalancing
monthly
Risk Level
conservative
Variants
1
Author
Adam Butler (ReSolve)
Source
Butler, A. (ReSolve Asset Management). Tactical Permanent Portfolio

Asset Classes

  • US Equity
  • Long-Term Treasuries
  • Gold
  • Cash (T-Bills)

Categories

Further reading

New to this approach? Read what tactical asset allocation is and how it works.

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