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Strategies/Simple Path to Wealth

Simple Path to Wealth

StaticProaggressive

Based on research by JL Collins · Collins, JL. The Simple Path to Wealth (2016)

This is BestFolio's independent implementation. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the original author.

Launched 2016
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About this Strategy

Ultra-simple 2-fund portfolio: 75% US total market, 25% bonds. Hugely popular in the FIRE community.

The complete strategy logic, asset universe, and rebalancing rules are available to Pro subscribers. This includes the full methodology description, author notes, and implementation details.

Pro subscribers also get access to current signals, full backtest history, and the ability to blend this strategy into custom portfolios.

Strategy Rules

Pro subscribers only

  1. 1Allocate 75% to VTI (Vanguard Total US Stock Market)
  2. 2Allocate 25% to BND (Vanguard Total Bond Market)
  3. 3Rebalance annually or when drift exceeds threshold

Key Differentiators

Annual rebalancingFixed allocationAggressive risk2 variants

Research Source

JC

Based on research by JL Collins

Collins, JL. The Simple Path to Wealth (2016)

Strategy Info

Type
Fixed / Strategic
Frequency
annual
Next Rebalance
Jan 409:30 ET (227d)
Variants
2
Risk Category
aggressive
Tags
static
Type
Fixed/Strategic Asset Allocation
Trading Frequency
Annual or on-drift rebalancing
Number Of Holdings
2 ETFs
Equity Allocation
75% (US only)
Bond Allocation
25%
Philosophy
Radical simplicity — fewest possible funds
Risk Level
Moderate to Aggressive

Asset Classes

US EquityUS Bonds

Simple Path to Wealth at a glance

Simple Path to Wealth is a fixed-allocation portfolio by JL Collins across US Equity, US Bonds, rebalanced annual. Backtested 1987-12-31 to 2026-05-20 (38.4 years): 10.0% CAGR, 0.77 Sharpe, -43.4% max drawdown, 13.5% volatility.

Type
Fixed Allocation
Author
JL Collins
Rebalancing
Annual
Risk
Aggressive
Period
1987-12-31 to 2026-05-20
CAGR
10.0%
Sharpe
0.77
Max Drawdown
-43.4%
Volatility
13.5%

Simple Path to Wealth Fixed Allocation Portfolio

JL Collins' Simple Path to Wealth portfolio — the foundational text of the FIRE movement. Ultra-simple: 75% Vanguard Total Stock Market (VTI) and 25% Vanguard Total Bond Market (BND). Collins argues most investors are better off with just two funds than any more complex allocation.

Backtest Performance (1987-12-31 to 2026-05-20)

MetricSimple Path to Wealth
Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR)10.0%
Maximum Drawdown-43.4%
Sharpe Ratio0.77
Sortino Ratio0.99
Annualized Volatility13.5%
Calmar Ratio0.23
Total Return3754.2%
Backtest Period38.4 years

Strategy Details

Type
Fixed / Strategic
Rebalancing
annual
Risk Level
aggressive
Variants
2
Author
JL Collins
Source
Collins, JL. The Simple Path to Wealth (2016)

Asset Classes

  • US Equity
  • US Bonds

Categories

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Disclaimer: BestFolio is an informational tool only and does not provide investment advice, recommendations, or solicitations to buy or sell securities. All strategy signals, backtests, and performance metrics are provided for educational and research purposes. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your own investment decisions. BestFolio is not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial planner. Always consult a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.

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