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Drawdown history

UPRO observed max drawdown: 62.7%

ProShares UltraPro S&P 500 (3x). From its 2021-12-31 peak, UPRO fell 62.7% to the 2022-09-30 trough and needed 2.5 years to make a new high (2024-06-30). Computed from 205 months of observed fund history. Raw fund prices begin 2009-06-25; the monthly analysis runs from 2009-06-30 through 2026-06-30.

UPRO observed fund drawdown statistics

Maximum drawdown
-62.7%

2021-12-31 peak to 2022-09-30 trough.

Recovery time
2.5 years

New high reached 2024-06-30.

Time underwater
63.4%

Share of all months spent below a prior high.

Worst 12 months
-56.8%

Rolling year ending 2022-12-31.

The biggest UPRO drawdowns in observed fund history

DepthPeakTroughRecoveredPeak to troughTotal underwater
-62.7%2021-12-312022-09-302024-06-309 mo2.5 years
-60.4%2019-12-312020-03-312020-12-313 mo12 months
-47.0%2011-04-302011-09-302012-09-305 mo17 months
-39.1%2018-09-302018-12-312019-10-313 mo13 months
-36.7%2010-04-302010-06-302010-12-312 mo8 months

Methodology: observed UPRO fund prices only, first available from 2009-06-25. Monthly closing-price statistics cover 2009-06-30 through 2026-06-30; no proxy or pre-inception simulation is included in this table. Educational information, not investment advice.

Hypothetical, not observed

Hypothetical extended / pre-inception UPRO history

This separate series combines observed prices with a modeled pre-inception extension from 1970-01-31 through 2026-07-31. The 2026-07-31 endpoint is the legacy current partial-month bucket/month-end label, not evidence that UPRO was observed through that future date. It is not observed UPRO performance. The API's observed boundary is 2009-06-25; observed monthly statistics run from 2009-06-30 through 2026-06-30.

Assumptions: UPRO is modeled as 3x daily SPY, with a 0.91% annual expense ratio and borrowing at FFR + 0.50% on borrowed exposure. Before FRED rate history begins, the fallback borrowing rate is 2.5% per borrowed turn.

3x daily S&P 500, the levered half of HFEA-style portfolios.

Modeled extended statistics

Maximum drawdown
-97.6%

1999-12-31 peak to 2009-02-28 trough.

Recovery time
19.8 years

New high reached 2019-10-31.

Time underwater
89.4%

Share of all months spent below a prior high.

Worst 12 months
-90.2%

Rolling year ending 2009-02-28.

For context, SPY (the S&P 500 baseline) had a maximum drawdown of 50.8% over the same kind of monthly-close analysis.

Modeled extended drawdowns

DepthPeakTroughRecoveredPeak to troughTotal underwater
-97.6%1999-12-312009-02-282019-10-31110 mo19.8 years
-87.2%1972-12-311974-09-301995-03-3121 mo22.3 years
-62.7%2021-12-312022-09-302024-06-309 mo2.5 years
-60.4%2019-12-312020-03-312020-12-313 mo12 months
-47.5%1970-02-281970-06-301970-12-314 mo10 months

Monthly closing prices, peak-to-trough on total return where available. The pre-inception segment is a reconstruction, not a live fund record, and actual tracking, financing, taxes, spreads, and volatility drag can differ.

Drawdowns are the reason tactical strategies exist

Buy-and-hold UPRO means living through every number on this page. BestFolio tracks published TAA strategies whose whole job is cutting these drawdowns, with out-of-sample track records.